Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Week 10 ACC Handicapping

Going into Week 10

The Standings

Atlantic
Florida State (6-1, 3-1)
Maryland (6-2, 3-1)
Boston College (5-2, 2-2)
Wake Forest (4-3, 2-2)
Clemson (3-4, 1-3)
NC State (2-6, 0-4)
Coastal
Virginia (5-3, 3-1)
Georgia Tech (6-2, 3-2)
North Carolina (6-2, 2-2)
Miami (5-3, 2-2)
Virginia Tech (5-3, 2-2)
Duke (4-3, 1-2)

The Games

Week 10
Atlantic
Clemson at Boston College
Coastal
Miami at Virginia
Inter-Division
Duke at Wake Forest
Florida State at Georgia Tech
Non-Conference
None
Bye Weeks
UMD, UNC, NCSU, VT

Week 11
Atlantic
Clemson at Florida State
Coastal
Georgia Tech at North Carolina
Inter-Division
NC State at Duke
Maryland at Virginia Tech
Virginia at Wake Forest
Non-Conference
Notre Dame at Boston College
Bye Week
MIA

Week 12
Atlantic
Boston College at Florida State
Wake Forest at NC State
Coastal
Virginia Tech at Miami
Inter-Division
Duke at Clemson
North Carolina at Maryland
Non-Conference
None
Bye Week
GT, UVA

Week 13
Atlantic
Boston College at Wake Forest
Florida State at Maryland
Coastal
Miami at Georgia Tech
Duke at Virginia Tech
Inter-Division
Clemson at Virginia
NC State at North Carolina
Non-Conference
None
Bye Week
None

Week 14
Atlantic
Maryland at Boston College
Coastal
North Carolina at Duke
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Inter-Division
Miami at NC State
Non-Conference
Florida at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Georgia
South Carolina at Clemson
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest
Bye Week
None

The Teams
Division games in CAPS, Inter-Division games in lower case.

Atlantic

Florida State
Wins: NCSU, mia, vt
Losses: WF
Home: CU, BC
Away: UMD, gt
Analysis: Best raw talent of any team in the division...if Noles finish 6-2 and lose to GT, they should still win the division...two of three remaining division games are at home.

Maryland
Wins: CU, WF, NCSU
Losses: uva
Home: FSU, unc
Away: BC, vt
Analysis: Jekyll and Hyde team of the ACC...all four remaining games are possible losses...already has tiebreak over Wake.

Boston College
Wins: NCSU, vt
Losses: gt, unc
Home: CU, UMD
Away: FSU, WF
Analysis: Play often depends on quarterback...best defense in the division...has already played its three Coastal teams.

Wake Forest
Wins: FSU, CU
Losses: UMD, mia
Home: BC, du, uva
Away: NCSU
Analysis: Has lost three of its last four...only two division games left...only Atlantic team with three home games left.

Coastal

Virginia
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: DU
Home: MIA, cu
Away: WF, VT
Analysis: Has won four consecutive games...toughest remaining games are on the road...already has tiebreaker over two contenders.

Georgia Tech
Wins: DU, bc, cu
Losses: VT, UVA
Home: MIA, fsu
Away: UNC
Analysis: UNC game is now an elimination game...must finish with better record than both UVA and VT...only contender with five conference games played.

North Carolina
Wins: MIA, bc
Losses: VT, UVA
Home: GT, ncsu
Away: DU, umd
Analysis: GT game is now an elimination game...must finish with better record than both UVA and VT...only one game remaining against a Coastal contender.

Miami
Wins: DU, wf
Losses: UNC, fsu
Home: VT
Away: UVA, GT, ncsu
Analysis: Biggest enigma among Coastal contenders...only contender with three road games...finishes season with two road games.

Virginia Tech
Wins: GT, UNC
Losses: bc, fsu
Home: DU, UVA, umd
Away: mia
Analysis: Already holds tiebreak against two contenders...only contender with three home games...not playing very well and is down to third-string QB...must win at MIA.

The Odds

Atlantic

Florida State: 3/1
Maryland: 10/3
Boston College: 4/1
Wake Forest: 8/1

Coastal

Virginia: 4/1
Georgia Tech: 8/1
North Carolina: 4/1
Miami: 4/1
Virginia Tech: 8/1

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