The Team
The team took a different approach to this year's bowl game. More hitting, more film review, more time spent on the offensive and defensive scheme. However, all of that means nothing if the team comes out soft and listless again.
It's one thing to prepare like this game isn't just a reward. Acting like it's more than just a reward is completely different.
Offense
- Cincy cornerback Mike Mickens is expected to play in the Orange Bowl and I'm interested to see how he performs. With a healthy Mickens, the Bearcats are solid at stopping the pass. Without him, they are easier to exploit. Mickens injured his knee and missed Cincy's last three games.
- The Bearcats have a surprisingly good run defense and that combined with a new starter on the offensive line could make it difficult for the Hokies to get yards on the ground.
- However, the bigger concern with the retooled offensive line is pass blocking. It was weak to begin with, but now with one lineman changing his blocking patterns at a new position and a new starter, it could be a disaster. It will be up to Tyrod to buy himself time and pick up yards on the ground.
- I'd like to see the Hokies move the pocket with Tyrod to give him a better opportunity to find open receivers in passing situations. However, since we never do that, I doubt we'll see it now.
- The Bearcats have a solid and quick linebacking corps so I don't think we'll see a lot from the tight ends in the passing game.
- The guy, other than Darren Evans, who needs to have a big game for the Hokies is wide receiver Jarrett Boykin. The receivers finally started to come into their own late in the year and Tyrod can finally trust them to run the correct route on plays. Boykin's coming out party could be in the Orange Bowl.
- If the Hokies win the game, I think the MVP is going to have to be Tyrod.
Defense
- For the second consecutive Orange Bowl, the Hokies will be missing a starting linebacker. Last year, Vince Hall injured his knee while riding a wave runner prior to the game. This year, Brett Warren is out with a partially torn ACL. Warren is replaced by r-freshman Barquell Rivers, who will make his first career start and see his first significant time.
- Rivers is supposed to have a bright future and his specialty is stopping the run. Rivers will likely start at Warren's position next year as a sophomore, so this is good experience for him.
- Jason Worilds will miss the game due to his shoulder, which he hurt early in the year. Worilds has been the team's best pass rusher this year, but the drop off between Worilds and Nekos Brown is not nearly as steep as the one between Warren and Rivers. The problem will be if Brown or Orion Martin are injured during the game. The Hokies now have no depth at defensive end. Or at any position for that matter.
- The key for the Hokies on defense will be getting pressure on Tony Pike. Cincinnati is just like every other pass first spread offense. If you get pressure on the quarterback and disrupt the timing between him and the receivers, you will have no problem stopping them.
- Orion Martin hasn't been as noticeable to me the last few games of the season. I thought he wasn't having his best games at the beginning and end of 2008. He was outstanding the middle part of the schedule and the Hokies need him to return to that form and get to Pike. The less the Hokies have to blitz, the better against Cincy's spread formation.
- I expect this game to go similar to the first BC game when the Bearcats have the ball. Cincy will get theirs via big plays through the air. However, the Hokies will also get big plays on defense with sacks and turnovers. The team that wins will be the team that makes the most of its big plays.
- I expect a big game from Macho Harris. This is his last game and last chance to make a big impression on NFL scouts prior to the All Star games. Harris will do all he can on defense, offense and special teams to get this team a win.
Outcome
- I think Cincinnati will score about 20 points in this game. The key will be whether or not the Hokies can score 21. With Tech's kicking game, which is just as good as Cincy's in my opinion, and turnover-creating defense, I think they will.
Watch the Box Score For:
1. Cincinnati turnovers
2. Virginia Tech rushing yards
3. Tony Pike QB rating
4. VT 3rd down percentage
VT Players to Watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
32 - Darren Evans, Fr., RB
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
90 - Orion Martin, Sr., DE
UC Players to Watch:
15 - Tony Pike, Jr., QB
16 - Dominick Goodman, Sr., WR
5 - Connor Barwin, Sr., DE
49 - Torry Cornett, Sr., LB
Final Score: Virginia Tech 23, Cincinnati 20
Showing posts with label what to watch. Show all posts
Showing posts with label what to watch. Show all posts
Monday, December 29, 2008
Thursday, December 4, 2008
What to Watch in the ACCCG
Most stats are from cfbstats.com.
Atmosphere
Attendance appears to be abysmal. Even worse than last year in Jacksonville. Brian from BC Interruption had a good idea. Why not give free tickets to local high school teams? That would at least get asses in seats so it doesn't look like a Marlins game in August out there.
Let's just hope there are no blimp shots for this game.
Offense
- Ugh. Just thinking about this makes my head hurt.
- The good news is our passing game is light-years ahead of what it was the last time we faced BC. The bad news is it's still pretty terrible. Last week, the Hokies threw for an awe-inspiring 176 yards against the Wahoos. The really sad part is that was our season-high.
- In just about every other game we play, we have to establish the run to set up the pass. Well, that just isn't going to happen Saturday against BC. They are too good up front. No, we have to follow the offensive philosophy of the great Don Coryell, who said you have to establish the pass to set up the run. Unless we can show BC that our passing game is a threat, we are not going to be able to run the ball and in turn, have no chance of winning this game.
- Jarrett Boykin is thiiiiiis close to breaking out as a great receiver. He's show he has the ability and occasionally he's shown he can get open with regularity. He is a guy that if he has a big game, I think we win. Tyrod needs a downfield option when throwing the ball and Boykin might be ready to provide it. Before, the options for Tyrod were the tight end over the middle, a short route to Danny Coale or tucking and running. I think Tyrod is starting to trust his receivers more.
- Unless we can get BC to respect our passing game and spread their defense, there will not be any running room for Darren Evans. We don't have a shifty running back who can get to the outside, so our running game is going to have to be North-South against the team that is the best at stopping North-South running that I've seen all season.
- If we don't have a passing game, it will again be up to Tyrod to move the ball on the ground. He responded well in Chestnut Hill, running for 110 yards on 15 carries. But, as we learned in October, we can't rely solely on Tyrod. We lost in October in large part because we could not convert short-yardage situations on the ground. If that doesn't change this time around, the result will be the same.
- However, even though we know all of this, I still expect the Hokies to try and pound the ball early and often. I hope they don't. Against most teams we have been able to run at them, run at them and run at them to wear them down and then dominate on the ground with Evans in the fourth quarter. That didn't happen in October and it sure as hell won't happen Saturday. The Eagle defense will not wear down like some of the other teams we've faced.
- Instead, we need to attack them. Throw Stinespring Screens at them, throw deep, roll the pocket for Tyrod and find ways to get the ball downfield early so they can't keep crowding the box to stop Evans.
- I think we can throw on these guys. Our receivers and Tyrod's trust in them has improved since October. And the Eagles were No. 9 in the ACC in pass defense in conference play, giving up 196.1 YPG (6.2 YPA). We know we can't beat them on the ground, so why not at least try to beat them through the air?
Defense
- The Hokies will face a different quarterback than the one they saw in October, which is a good and bad thing. Yes, Crane made plays to beat the Hokies, but he also threw three picks, two of which were returned for touchdown. Now, we face Dominique Davis, who is as mobile as Crane but not quite a run-first quarterback like Tyrod tends to be. However, he is a threat when outside the pocket.
- Throwing the ball, Davis appears to be in the Tyrod mold. He doesn't appear to be incredibly accurate throwing deep, but he hasn't had enough pass attempts to get a good read on him. Before Crane broke his clavicle, Davis had 12 passing attempts. Since, he's connected on 25 of 47 attempts (53.2 percent) and is averaging a little over five yards per attempt.
- The Eagles will probably also be a run-first team on Saturday. The Eagles were in the middle of the pack in the ACC in both rush and pass offense, but without Crane will need production from their running backs. In the last two games, the Eagles are averaging 3.2 YPC (272 YDS/85 ATT). However, they ran for 175 yards on 41 attempts against Maryland, their second-highest rushing output against an ACC opponent.
- I think the Hokies will be able to stop the Eagles on the ground again, like they did in Chestnut Hill. That night, they held BC to 82 yards on 37 carries. However, the run defense has been on a slow decline since Maryland had negative-12 yards against them. They've given up over 100 yards rushing each of the last three games after doing so once in the previous five.
- If BC has success on the ground, it will come from Davis. Mobile QBs and spread-type offenses have hurt the Hokies this year. Vic Hall ran for 109 yards through a spread-attack last week and Zack Asack scrambled his way to 87 the week before. Traditional running games have struggled against the Hokies this year, so if they can contain Davis and keep him from beating them with his feet, the Eagles will go nowhere on offense.
Outcome
- This game will be quick. Both teams will try to establish the run first and keep it that way. The clock will be running most of the day, unlike when you watch a team like Texas Tech.
- This game will be close. Just about every Virginia Tech game has been this year. I'm glad Dustin Keys is on our sideline.
- This game will be clean. These two teams are the least-penalized teams by yards in the ACC this season.
- This game will be boring. Both teams have stout defenses and offenses that have been sputtering at times. However, I could be wrong on this point. Both defenses like to score points. And that could be the only way we'll see a touchdown on Saturday.
Watch the Box Score For:
1. Turnovers.
2. D. Davis Rushing Yards.
3. VT Passing Yards.
4. VT 3rd Down Percentage.
VT Players to Watch:
81 - Jarrett Boykin, Fr., WR
32 - Darren Evans, Fr., RB
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
26 - Cody Grimm, Jr., LB
BC Players to Watch:
15 - Dominique Davis, Fr., QB
41 - Montel Harris, Fr., RB
94 - Mark Herzlich, Jr., LB
60 - Ron Brace, Sr., DT
Final Score: Virginia Tech 6, Boston College 3
Atmosphere
Attendance appears to be abysmal. Even worse than last year in Jacksonville. Brian from BC Interruption had a good idea. Why not give free tickets to local high school teams? That would at least get asses in seats so it doesn't look like a Marlins game in August out there.
Let's just hope there are no blimp shots for this game.
Offense
- Ugh. Just thinking about this makes my head hurt.
- The good news is our passing game is light-years ahead of what it was the last time we faced BC. The bad news is it's still pretty terrible. Last week, the Hokies threw for an awe-inspiring 176 yards against the Wahoos. The really sad part is that was our season-high.
- In just about every other game we play, we have to establish the run to set up the pass. Well, that just isn't going to happen Saturday against BC. They are too good up front. No, we have to follow the offensive philosophy of the great Don Coryell, who said you have to establish the pass to set up the run. Unless we can show BC that our passing game is a threat, we are not going to be able to run the ball and in turn, have no chance of winning this game.- Jarrett Boykin is thiiiiiis close to breaking out as a great receiver. He's show he has the ability and occasionally he's shown he can get open with regularity. He is a guy that if he has a big game, I think we win. Tyrod needs a downfield option when throwing the ball and Boykin might be ready to provide it. Before, the options for Tyrod were the tight end over the middle, a short route to Danny Coale or tucking and running. I think Tyrod is starting to trust his receivers more.
- Unless we can get BC to respect our passing game and spread their defense, there will not be any running room for Darren Evans. We don't have a shifty running back who can get to the outside, so our running game is going to have to be North-South against the team that is the best at stopping North-South running that I've seen all season.
- If we don't have a passing game, it will again be up to Tyrod to move the ball on the ground. He responded well in Chestnut Hill, running for 110 yards on 15 carries. But, as we learned in October, we can't rely solely on Tyrod. We lost in October in large part because we could not convert short-yardage situations on the ground. If that doesn't change this time around, the result will be the same.
- However, even though we know all of this, I still expect the Hokies to try and pound the ball early and often. I hope they don't. Against most teams we have been able to run at them, run at them and run at them to wear them down and then dominate on the ground with Evans in the fourth quarter. That didn't happen in October and it sure as hell won't happen Saturday. The Eagle defense will not wear down like some of the other teams we've faced.
- Instead, we need to attack them. Throw Stinespring Screens at them, throw deep, roll the pocket for Tyrod and find ways to get the ball downfield early so they can't keep crowding the box to stop Evans.
- I think we can throw on these guys. Our receivers and Tyrod's trust in them has improved since October. And the Eagles were No. 9 in the ACC in pass defense in conference play, giving up 196.1 YPG (6.2 YPA). We know we can't beat them on the ground, so why not at least try to beat them through the air?
Defense
- The Hokies will face a different quarterback than the one they saw in October, which is a good and bad thing. Yes, Crane made plays to beat the Hokies, but he also threw three picks, two of which were returned for touchdown. Now, we face Dominique Davis, who is as mobile as Crane but not quite a run-first quarterback like Tyrod tends to be. However, he is a threat when outside the pocket.
- Throwing the ball, Davis appears to be in the Tyrod mold. He doesn't appear to be incredibly accurate throwing deep, but he hasn't had enough pass attempts to get a good read on him. Before Crane broke his clavicle, Davis had 12 passing attempts. Since, he's connected on 25 of 47 attempts (53.2 percent) and is averaging a little over five yards per attempt.
- The Eagles will probably also be a run-first team on Saturday. The Eagles were in the middle of the pack in the ACC in both rush and pass offense, but without Crane will need production from their running backs. In the last two games, the Eagles are averaging 3.2 YPC (272 YDS/85 ATT). However, they ran for 175 yards on 41 attempts against Maryland, their second-highest rushing output against an ACC opponent.
- I think the Hokies will be able to stop the Eagles on the ground again, like they did in Chestnut Hill. That night, they held BC to 82 yards on 37 carries. However, the run defense has been on a slow decline since Maryland had negative-12 yards against them. They've given up over 100 yards rushing each of the last three games after doing so once in the previous five.
- If BC has success on the ground, it will come from Davis. Mobile QBs and spread-type offenses have hurt the Hokies this year. Vic Hall ran for 109 yards through a spread-attack last week and Zack Asack scrambled his way to 87 the week before. Traditional running games have struggled against the Hokies this year, so if they can contain Davis and keep him from beating them with his feet, the Eagles will go nowhere on offense.
Outcome
- This game will be quick. Both teams will try to establish the run first and keep it that way. The clock will be running most of the day, unlike when you watch a team like Texas Tech.
- This game will be close. Just about every Virginia Tech game has been this year. I'm glad Dustin Keys is on our sideline.
- This game will be clean. These two teams are the least-penalized teams by yards in the ACC this season.
- This game will be boring. Both teams have stout defenses and offenses that have been sputtering at times. However, I could be wrong on this point. Both defenses like to score points. And that could be the only way we'll see a touchdown on Saturday.
Watch the Box Score For:
1. Turnovers.
2. D. Davis Rushing Yards.
3. VT Passing Yards.
4. VT 3rd Down Percentage.
VT Players to Watch:
81 - Jarrett Boykin, Fr., WR
32 - Darren Evans, Fr., RB
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
26 - Cody Grimm, Jr., LB
BC Players to Watch:
15 - Dominique Davis, Fr., QB
41 - Montel Harris, Fr., RB
94 - Mark Herzlich, Jr., LB
60 - Ron Brace, Sr., DT
Final Score: Virginia Tech 6, Boston College 3
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
What to Watch vs. Virginia
Most stats are from cfbstats.com.
Noon Game
- I hate Noon games and I'm sure the team does, too. As bad as we've played at times this year, we've been ever worse at Noon. Typically, it's the same for most teams. By the time kickoff comes around, neither the fans nor the teams are completely awake. Expect our effort and the atmosphere to be a lot less than what it is at 3:30 or later.
Offense
- No matter how you slice it, no matter what words you use to describe it, our offense is bad. Whether Tyrod Taylor or Sean Glennon is taking snaps, we have had a difficult time moving the ball. The running game has been average and good at times, but we have nothing resembling a passing game.
- Unfortunately for the Hokies, UVa has been pretty good at stopping the run this year. In their last eight games, the Wahoos have held their opponent under four yards per carry. Their last two games have been especially dominant against the run. They held Wake Forest to 2.9 YPC and Clemson to 1.44 YPC.
- Since UConn hung and astonishing five rushing touchdowns against the Wahoos, only one team, Georgia Tech, has had more than one in a game (2). The reason for Virginia's recent losing streak can't be contributed to its defense. Instead, it has been the offense that has failed it.
- The Wahoos run a 3-4 defense, which on the surface would appear to be disadvantageous to stopping a run-first team like the Hokies. However, the 'Hoos have a strong group of linebackers, led by senior Clint Sintim. Hokie fans know Sintim as the guy who took a cheap shot on Glennon when he was taking a knee last year. Watch for Sintim to be involved in just about every tackle for the 'Hoos and for his name to be booed vigorously every time it's said over the PA.
- Virginia's secondary mirrors Virginia Tech's. The 'Hoos have two solid cornerbacks in Vic Hall and Ras-I Dowling, but have not gotten solid play from their safeties this year. Look for the Hokie tight ends to have a good day as there should be room in the middle of the field for them to make catches against the Wahoo safeties and linebackers.
- However, this game will as always, come down to Virginia Tech's rushing production against Al Groh's 3-4 defense. The 'Hoos have done well recently against the run, but the Hokies have been producing on the ground of late. The battle between the Hokie offensive line and the Wahoo front seven will decide this game.
- Who will quarterback the Hokies on Saturday is not nearly as important as how they quarterback. I don't care if it's Tyrod or Glennon out there as long as they keep from turning the ball over and wasting good field position and good drives.
Defense
- Marc Verica reminds me a little bit of Sean Glennon. Very rarely will he do anything to cost you the game, but you can't expect to put the game on his shoulders. He does a very good job of managing the offense for the Wahoos. However, their offense begins and ends with running back Cedric Peerman.
- Peerman was carrying the team during its four-game win streak, but has been shut down during the three-game losing streak. He went over 100 yards in three of the four wins. But in his last three games has had 166 yards on 46 carries (3.61 YPC) and no touchdowns. He had six rushing touchdowns during the winning streak.
- The Hokie defense has been strong against the run all year and is allowing an ACC-low 3.03 YPC in conference games. Should the Hokies shut down Peerman, they will shut down the UVa offense.
- In their five wins, the Wahoos average over 135 yards per game on the ground. That number dips all the way to 51.5 yards per game in their six losses, lowest in the ACC.
- When the Wahoos do throw the ball, they have two solid options in wide receiver Kevin Ogletree and under-utilized tight end John Phillips. Phillips is the latest in a long line of good Wahoo tight ends, but probably doesn't get the ball enough. Ogletree is a reliable, consistent receiver who is one year removed from injury.
- As with all drop-back quarterbacks, the key to stopping Verica is to pressure him and force him into bad decisions. However, Virginia has allowed the fewest sacks in the league this year with 13, nine in conference play. It will be tough for the Hokies to apply pressure to Verica, particularly from his left side, which is protected by tackle Eugene Monroe.
- In their five wins, the Wahoos have allowed only four sacks. They have allowed nine sacks in their six losses.
Outcome
- As a Hokie fan, I can't pick UVa to win this game. But as I said earlier in the week, I'm worried. Not because I think UVa is a good team. Because Georgia Tech is the team that deserves to represent the Coastal in the ACCCG and I don't think the college football gods will allow Bryan Stinespring and his offense to win the division. It's a Karma thing. I'm sure I could devote an entire post to Bryan Stinespring as an ethos instead of as an offensive coordinator, but I'd rather enjoy my Thanksgiving instead of spending too much time thinking about what we call an offense.
Watch the Box Score for:
1. VT rushing yards
2. UVa rushing yards
3. Field Position
4. Turnovers
VT Players to Watch:
32 - Darren Evans, So., RB
70 - Sergio Render, Jr., OG
95 - Taco Thompson, Jr., DT
33 - Brett Warren, Sr., LB
UVa Players to Watch:
37 - Cedric Peerman, Sr., RB
6 - Marc Verica, So., QB
51 - Clint Sintim, Sr., LB
54 - Jon Copper, Sr., LB
Final Score: Virginia Tech 17, Virginia 13
Noon Game
- I hate Noon games and I'm sure the team does, too. As bad as we've played at times this year, we've been ever worse at Noon. Typically, it's the same for most teams. By the time kickoff comes around, neither the fans nor the teams are completely awake. Expect our effort and the atmosphere to be a lot less than what it is at 3:30 or later.
Offense
- No matter how you slice it, no matter what words you use to describe it, our offense is bad. Whether Tyrod Taylor or Sean Glennon is taking snaps, we have had a difficult time moving the ball. The running game has been average and good at times, but we have nothing resembling a passing game.
- Unfortunately for the Hokies, UVa has been pretty good at stopping the run this year. In their last eight games, the Wahoos have held their opponent under four yards per carry. Their last two games have been especially dominant against the run. They held Wake Forest to 2.9 YPC and Clemson to 1.44 YPC.
- Since UConn hung and astonishing five rushing touchdowns against the Wahoos, only one team, Georgia Tech, has had more than one in a game (2). The reason for Virginia's recent losing streak can't be contributed to its defense. Instead, it has been the offense that has failed it.
- The Wahoos run a 3-4 defense, which on the surface would appear to be disadvantageous to stopping a run-first team like the Hokies. However, the 'Hoos have a strong group of linebackers, led by senior Clint Sintim. Hokie fans know Sintim as the guy who took a cheap shot on Glennon when he was taking a knee last year. Watch for Sintim to be involved in just about every tackle for the 'Hoos and for his name to be booed vigorously every time it's said over the PA.
- Virginia's secondary mirrors Virginia Tech's. The 'Hoos have two solid cornerbacks in Vic Hall and Ras-I Dowling, but have not gotten solid play from their safeties this year. Look for the Hokie tight ends to have a good day as there should be room in the middle of the field for them to make catches against the Wahoo safeties and linebackers.
- However, this game will as always, come down to Virginia Tech's rushing production against Al Groh's 3-4 defense. The 'Hoos have done well recently against the run, but the Hokies have been producing on the ground of late. The battle between the Hokie offensive line and the Wahoo front seven will decide this game.
- Who will quarterback the Hokies on Saturday is not nearly as important as how they quarterback. I don't care if it's Tyrod or Glennon out there as long as they keep from turning the ball over and wasting good field position and good drives.
Defense
- Marc Verica reminds me a little bit of Sean Glennon. Very rarely will he do anything to cost you the game, but you can't expect to put the game on his shoulders. He does a very good job of managing the offense for the Wahoos. However, their offense begins and ends with running back Cedric Peerman.
- Peerman was carrying the team during its four-game win streak, but has been shut down during the three-game losing streak. He went over 100 yards in three of the four wins. But in his last three games has had 166 yards on 46 carries (3.61 YPC) and no touchdowns. He had six rushing touchdowns during the winning streak.
- The Hokie defense has been strong against the run all year and is allowing an ACC-low 3.03 YPC in conference games. Should the Hokies shut down Peerman, they will shut down the UVa offense.
- In their five wins, the Wahoos average over 135 yards per game on the ground. That number dips all the way to 51.5 yards per game in their six losses, lowest in the ACC.
- When the Wahoos do throw the ball, they have two solid options in wide receiver Kevin Ogletree and under-utilized tight end John Phillips. Phillips is the latest in a long line of good Wahoo tight ends, but probably doesn't get the ball enough. Ogletree is a reliable, consistent receiver who is one year removed from injury.
- As with all drop-back quarterbacks, the key to stopping Verica is to pressure him and force him into bad decisions. However, Virginia has allowed the fewest sacks in the league this year with 13, nine in conference play. It will be tough for the Hokies to apply pressure to Verica, particularly from his left side, which is protected by tackle Eugene Monroe.
- In their five wins, the Wahoos have allowed only four sacks. They have allowed nine sacks in their six losses.
Outcome
- As a Hokie fan, I can't pick UVa to win this game. But as I said earlier in the week, I'm worried. Not because I think UVa is a good team. Because Georgia Tech is the team that deserves to represent the Coastal in the ACCCG and I don't think the college football gods will allow Bryan Stinespring and his offense to win the division. It's a Karma thing. I'm sure I could devote an entire post to Bryan Stinespring as an ethos instead of as an offensive coordinator, but I'd rather enjoy my Thanksgiving instead of spending too much time thinking about what we call an offense.
Watch the Box Score for:
1. VT rushing yards
2. UVa rushing yards
3. Field Position
4. Turnovers
VT Players to Watch:
32 - Darren Evans, So., RB
70 - Sergio Render, Jr., OG
95 - Taco Thompson, Jr., DT
33 - Brett Warren, Sr., LB
UVa Players to Watch:
37 - Cedric Peerman, Sr., RB
6 - Marc Verica, So., QB
51 - Clint Sintim, Sr., LB
54 - Jon Copper, Sr., LB
Final Score: Virginia Tech 17, Virginia 13
Friday, November 21, 2008
What to Watch vs. Duke
The Team
There have been a lot of distractions for the Hokies since they lost at Miami. Our embattled offensive coordinator became more embattled. Our defensive coordinator appears to be coaching in his final games in orange and maroon. The offensive and defensive units appear to be feuding. I think the stress of this season may be taking its toll on Beamer, the coaching staff and even the players.
But then Georgia Tech beat Miami.
It should be different now. None of the crap from the last eight days should matter anymore. If we win two games at home against two teams we fare well against we will win the division and be one win away from the Orange Bowl. This should be a motivated football team that comes out for a night game at Lane Stadium Saturday.
Should.
Offense
Duke actually has some talent on the defensive side of the ball. I love the way defensive tackle Vince Oghobaase and linebacker Michael Tauiliili play. They have helped Duke improve at stopping the run. Last year, the Devils were No. 11 in the ACC in YPC allowed with 4.3. This year, that number has been lowered to 3.8, good enough to have them at No. 7 in the ACC.
It's an improvement. While the Hokies should be able to find success on the ground, I think it won't be the kind of success we are used to against Duke. We will have to throw the ball to beat the Devils.
Fortunately for the Hokies, Duke is terrible at defending the pass. It allows an ACC-worst 7.9 YPA. That number is slightly higher than the 7.8 YPA the Devils allowed last season, also worst in the conference.
Both cornerbacks for the Blue Devils are seniors, which just means its the same sorry players they've been trotting out at corner the last couple years. They should be push-overs. I think this is the game the receivers finally get a TD catch.
The Duke linebackers are good enough to limit the catches Greg Boone and the rest of the tight ends will get. It will just be up to the offensive line to give the quarterbacks enough time to find open receivers.
Duke is getting two sacks per game, which is in the middle of the pack in the ACC. However, the Hokies are giving up the most sacks per game in the ACC, both overall and in conference games. Tech has surrendered 28 sacks this year, including an astounding 19 in six league games.
And that's while using a mobile quarterback for all but one of the games.
Needless to say, that's a key stat that needs to improve for the Hokies to win out and go to Tampa.
I think the Hokies will struggle to put points on the board against Duke. Yes we'll be able to move the ball, but I'm not sure it will lead to a lot of points. The Blue Devils have been decent in the red zone this year. This could be another Dustin Keys special.
Defense
The Hokies have been relentless at getting to the quarterback this year. Tech has the most sacks in league games with 19 (3.17 per game). It will face a Duke team that prepares to play without starting quarterback Thaddeus Lewis. While Lewis is not the most mobile of quarterbacks, he is able to avoid pressure. Duke has allowed 11 sacks in six conference games.
Zack Asack looks to be the man under center for the Devils. Simply, the they will not be a good football team if Lewis isn't the quarterback. He is one of the primary reasons Duke has improved this year. He has avoided the costly interceptions that have plagued the Duke offense in years past. Without him, it will be open season for the Hokie front four as well as the secondary.
Duke's best offensive player is wide receiver Eron Riley, who at 6-3 poses a matchup problem for every VT defensive back not named Kam. However, without an semblance of a rushing game and without Lewis, Riley will be a non-factor. I think Duke will be lucky to score points if the defense is motivated and plays to its potential.
I think the defense will get sacks and picks against the Zack Attack. Those may need to lead directly to points if the Hokies want to put away the Devils, who at times have been pesky this year.
I don't want to see Jason Worilds play unless we absolutely need him on Saturday. He's banged up and there's no need to risk further injury to his shoulder against Duke. We will need him against the Wahoos.
Check the Box Score For:
1. Turnovers
2. VT passing yards
3. Duke rushing yards
4. Sacks (both teams)
VT Players to Watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
81 - Jarrett Boykin, Fr., WR
90 - Orion Martin, Sr., DE
17 - Kam Chancellor, Jr., FS
Duke Players to Watch:
15 - Eron Riley, Sr., WR
74 - Cameron Goldberg, Sr., LT
3 - Vince Oghobaase, Jr., DT
34 - Michael Tauiliili, Sr., LB
Final Score: Virginia Tech 16, Duke 3
There have been a lot of distractions for the Hokies since they lost at Miami. Our embattled offensive coordinator became more embattled. Our defensive coordinator appears to be coaching in his final games in orange and maroon. The offensive and defensive units appear to be feuding. I think the stress of this season may be taking its toll on Beamer, the coaching staff and even the players.
But then Georgia Tech beat Miami.
It should be different now. None of the crap from the last eight days should matter anymore. If we win two games at home against two teams we fare well against we will win the division and be one win away from the Orange Bowl. This should be a motivated football team that comes out for a night game at Lane Stadium Saturday.
Should.
Offense
Duke actually has some talent on the defensive side of the ball. I love the way defensive tackle Vince Oghobaase and linebacker Michael Tauiliili play. They have helped Duke improve at stopping the run. Last year, the Devils were No. 11 in the ACC in YPC allowed with 4.3. This year, that number has been lowered to 3.8, good enough to have them at No. 7 in the ACC.
It's an improvement. While the Hokies should be able to find success on the ground, I think it won't be the kind of success we are used to against Duke. We will have to throw the ball to beat the Devils.
Fortunately for the Hokies, Duke is terrible at defending the pass. It allows an ACC-worst 7.9 YPA. That number is slightly higher than the 7.8 YPA the Devils allowed last season, also worst in the conference.
Both cornerbacks for the Blue Devils are seniors, which just means its the same sorry players they've been trotting out at corner the last couple years. They should be push-overs. I think this is the game the receivers finally get a TD catch.
The Duke linebackers are good enough to limit the catches Greg Boone and the rest of the tight ends will get. It will just be up to the offensive line to give the quarterbacks enough time to find open receivers.
Duke is getting two sacks per game, which is in the middle of the pack in the ACC. However, the Hokies are giving up the most sacks per game in the ACC, both overall and in conference games. Tech has surrendered 28 sacks this year, including an astounding 19 in six league games.
And that's while using a mobile quarterback for all but one of the games.
Needless to say, that's a key stat that needs to improve for the Hokies to win out and go to Tampa.
I think the Hokies will struggle to put points on the board against Duke. Yes we'll be able to move the ball, but I'm not sure it will lead to a lot of points. The Blue Devils have been decent in the red zone this year. This could be another Dustin Keys special.
Defense
The Hokies have been relentless at getting to the quarterback this year. Tech has the most sacks in league games with 19 (3.17 per game). It will face a Duke team that prepares to play without starting quarterback Thaddeus Lewis. While Lewis is not the most mobile of quarterbacks, he is able to avoid pressure. Duke has allowed 11 sacks in six conference games.
Zack Asack looks to be the man under center for the Devils. Simply, the they will not be a good football team if Lewis isn't the quarterback. He is one of the primary reasons Duke has improved this year. He has avoided the costly interceptions that have plagued the Duke offense in years past. Without him, it will be open season for the Hokie front four as well as the secondary.
Duke's best offensive player is wide receiver Eron Riley, who at 6-3 poses a matchup problem for every VT defensive back not named Kam. However, without an semblance of a rushing game and without Lewis, Riley will be a non-factor. I think Duke will be lucky to score points if the defense is motivated and plays to its potential.
I think the defense will get sacks and picks against the Zack Attack. Those may need to lead directly to points if the Hokies want to put away the Devils, who at times have been pesky this year.
I don't want to see Jason Worilds play unless we absolutely need him on Saturday. He's banged up and there's no need to risk further injury to his shoulder against Duke. We will need him against the Wahoos.
Check the Box Score For:
1. Turnovers
2. VT passing yards
3. Duke rushing yards
4. Sacks (both teams)
VT Players to Watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
81 - Jarrett Boykin, Fr., WR
90 - Orion Martin, Sr., DE
17 - Kam Chancellor, Jr., FS
Duke Players to Watch:
15 - Eron Riley, Sr., WR
74 - Cameron Goldberg, Sr., LT
3 - Vince Oghobaase, Jr., DT
34 - Michael Tauiliili, Sr., LB
Final Score: Virginia Tech 16, Duke 3
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
What to Watch vs. Miami
Most stats are from cfbstats.com.
Dolphin Stadium
- I'm interested to see how many people show up to Dolphin Stadium on a Thursday night. Will there be just as many Hokie fans as Cane fans like in 2006? Will the place be half full? Or will there be a strong showing from Cane fans for a team that may very will win their division for the first time since joining the ACC?
Offense
- I'm predicting Glennon will start. Then again, I said Holt would start against Maryland. But, with Glennon healing faster than Tyrod and Glennon not having to rely on his running ability, it will very likely be Glennon under center.
- We'll see the Wild Turkey formation with Boone under center again. I'm interested in seeing more zone road option from Boone in this game. Almost every time we ran the Wild Turkey against Maryland, it was either a reverse to the receiver in motion or Boone running to the left or right.
- There was one Wild Turkey play where Boone faked the run and dropped back to pass. If our offensive line hadn't broken down on the play, Boone would have been able to throw a pass for the first time in his career. However, he was forced to scramble. If that play looked familiar, it's because Ryan Perriloux ran it and threw a touchdown against us last year in Baton Rouge.
- The Hokies will be able to run the ball better than they did against BC but not as well as they did against Maryland. Expect a performance more along the lines of what we saw against Georgia Tech or FSU. Evans averaged 4.9 YPC against the Jackets and 5.1 against the Noles. If he can get around that against the Canes, I'll be happy.
- The problem for the Hokies is Miami is best in the ACC in YPC allowed. It allows 2.9 YPC this season. However, that number goes up to 3.5 against ACC foes, which ranks No. 5 in the ACC (VT is No. 1).
- As for yards per game numbers, Miami's D gives up 146.2 YPG against ACC foes, No. 8 in the conference. The Hokies gain 166.2 YPG in conference games, No. 3 in the conference. So while it will be more difficult for the Hokies to get yards on the ground against the Canes, it may not be as difficult as I originally thought.
- The Canes have had a lot of injuries on defense this year, but still have talent. I have been exponentially impressed by freshman defensive end Adewale Ojomo. The kid is a freak and has disrupted every offense he has played. He will line up against the Hokies' best tackle, Ed Wang. If Wang can mitigate Ojomo's effect on our offense, we'll have a lot better luck moving the ball.
- A big problem for the Hokies is that Glennon is still missing high when he is inaccurate. This will lead to interceptions against a defense as skilled as Miami's.
Defense
- The Canes have two quarterbacks with basically the same skill sets in Jacory Harris and Robert Marve. As you read in our Q&A with Canes305 from allCanes, Harris is the better passer and Marve is the better runner. However, what you will see is Marve start, Harris play early and then head coach Randy Shannon go with whoever has the hot hand down the stretch.
- In Miami's six wins, both quarterbacks have been very good with passer ratings in the 120s. In the three losses, both have been bad with passer ratings in the 80s. This is a little surprising to me because I expected one quarterback to be a little more consistent in their win/loss splits with the other one having a bigger difference when Miami is succeeding vs. when they are losing.
- It also tells me the key to disrupting the Miami offense is to get pressure on the quarterback. The Hokies must be able to cut down on how much time both QBs have to make their decisions while at the same time containing them in the pocking and keeping them from scrambling for yards.
- The Hokies have been good at getting to the quarterback lately and I think we'll have the same success against the Canes. The trick will be stopping Miami's run game.
- When the Canes run the ball, it will be strength against strength. As I mentioned above, the Hokies are giving up an ACC-best 3.1 YPC in conference games. However, the Canes are averaging 4.3 YPC on offense in conference games, No. 3 in the ACC.
- Miami features two solid running backs in Javarris James and Graig Cooper. Cooper became a hoss when James was out with injury earlier this year. James is back, but still not at 100 percent.
- Not surprisingly, there's a big, big difference in rushing yards for the Canes in games they win and games they lose. They average 4.6 YPC in wins and 2.9 YPC in losses. Stop the running game and you stop Miami. Our DTs, particularly Taco Thompson, have been playing their best football. However, I think Miami will have success running the ball, particularly with Cooper.
- Macho Harris needs to have a big game for Tech. I don't think he's played his best the last couple of games, but could get back to the way he played in the middle of the season against Miami. He'll have the chance at least. The Canes have very talented wide receivers and the scouts will be watching. Remember how big a game Brandon Flowers had against the Canes in 2006? Macho needs to have that kind of game.
Outcome
- The Younglings are a talented football team. Like Tech, they have a lot of freshmen and sophomores at the skill positions. They also have experienced players at key positions on defense.
- I don't think we'll be able to take advantage of Miami's weakness, which is their secondary. Because of this, I think you'll see a 2006-type game that's low scoring with a few big plays here and there that decide the game.
- Miami's big, skilled wide receivers will be able to make plays against our secondary, which has been exploited when we haven't been able to get pressure on the quarterback. These receivers aren't as good as Florida State's, but it's close. I've been very impressed with Aldarius Johnson this year.
- In the end, one mistake late will decide the game. Unfortunately, with this game being on the road, I think the Hokies make that mistake.
Watch the Box Score For:
1. Turnovers.
2. VT sacks
3. Miami rushing yards.
4. Non-offensive touchdowns.
VT Players to Watch:
8 - Greg Boone, Jr., TE/QB/RB
77 - Ed Wang, Jr, LT
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
95 - Taco Thompson, Jr., DT
Miami Players to Watch:
4 - Aldarius Johnson, Fr., WR
2 - Graig Cooper, So., RB
97 - Adewale Ojomo, Fr., DE
31 - Sean Spence, Fr., LB
Final Score: Miami 17, Virginia Tech 10
Dolphin Stadium
- I'm interested to see how many people show up to Dolphin Stadium on a Thursday night. Will there be just as many Hokie fans as Cane fans like in 2006? Will the place be half full? Or will there be a strong showing from Cane fans for a team that may very will win their division for the first time since joining the ACC?
Offense
- I'm predicting Glennon will start. Then again, I said Holt would start against Maryland. But, with Glennon healing faster than Tyrod and Glennon not having to rely on his running ability, it will very likely be Glennon under center.
- We'll see the Wild Turkey formation with Boone under center again. I'm interested in seeing more zone road option from Boone in this game. Almost every time we ran the Wild Turkey against Maryland, it was either a reverse to the receiver in motion or Boone running to the left or right.
- There was one Wild Turkey play where Boone faked the run and dropped back to pass. If our offensive line hadn't broken down on the play, Boone would have been able to throw a pass for the first time in his career. However, he was forced to scramble. If that play looked familiar, it's because Ryan Perriloux ran it and threw a touchdown against us last year in Baton Rouge.
- The Hokies will be able to run the ball better than they did against BC but not as well as they did against Maryland. Expect a performance more along the lines of what we saw against Georgia Tech or FSU. Evans averaged 4.9 YPC against the Jackets and 5.1 against the Noles. If he can get around that against the Canes, I'll be happy.
- The problem for the Hokies is Miami is best in the ACC in YPC allowed. It allows 2.9 YPC this season. However, that number goes up to 3.5 against ACC foes, which ranks No. 5 in the ACC (VT is No. 1).
- As for yards per game numbers, Miami's D gives up 146.2 YPG against ACC foes, No. 8 in the conference. The Hokies gain 166.2 YPG in conference games, No. 3 in the conference. So while it will be more difficult for the Hokies to get yards on the ground against the Canes, it may not be as difficult as I originally thought.
- The Canes have had a lot of injuries on defense this year, but still have talent. I have been exponentially impressed by freshman defensive end Adewale Ojomo. The kid is a freak and has disrupted every offense he has played. He will line up against the Hokies' best tackle, Ed Wang. If Wang can mitigate Ojomo's effect on our offense, we'll have a lot better luck moving the ball.
- A big problem for the Hokies is that Glennon is still missing high when he is inaccurate. This will lead to interceptions against a defense as skilled as Miami's.
Defense
- The Canes have two quarterbacks with basically the same skill sets in Jacory Harris and Robert Marve. As you read in our Q&A with Canes305 from allCanes, Harris is the better passer and Marve is the better runner. However, what you will see is Marve start, Harris play early and then head coach Randy Shannon go with whoever has the hot hand down the stretch.
- In Miami's six wins, both quarterbacks have been very good with passer ratings in the 120s. In the three losses, both have been bad with passer ratings in the 80s. This is a little surprising to me because I expected one quarterback to be a little more consistent in their win/loss splits with the other one having a bigger difference when Miami is succeeding vs. when they are losing.
- It also tells me the key to disrupting the Miami offense is to get pressure on the quarterback. The Hokies must be able to cut down on how much time both QBs have to make their decisions while at the same time containing them in the pocking and keeping them from scrambling for yards.
- The Hokies have been good at getting to the quarterback lately and I think we'll have the same success against the Canes. The trick will be stopping Miami's run game.
- When the Canes run the ball, it will be strength against strength. As I mentioned above, the Hokies are giving up an ACC-best 3.1 YPC in conference games. However, the Canes are averaging 4.3 YPC on offense in conference games, No. 3 in the ACC.
- Miami features two solid running backs in Javarris James and Graig Cooper. Cooper became a hoss when James was out with injury earlier this year. James is back, but still not at 100 percent.
- Not surprisingly, there's a big, big difference in rushing yards for the Canes in games they win and games they lose. They average 4.6 YPC in wins and 2.9 YPC in losses. Stop the running game and you stop Miami. Our DTs, particularly Taco Thompson, have been playing their best football. However, I think Miami will have success running the ball, particularly with Cooper.
- Macho Harris needs to have a big game for Tech. I don't think he's played his best the last couple of games, but could get back to the way he played in the middle of the season against Miami. He'll have the chance at least. The Canes have very talented wide receivers and the scouts will be watching. Remember how big a game Brandon Flowers had against the Canes in 2006? Macho needs to have that kind of game.
Outcome
- The Younglings are a talented football team. Like Tech, they have a lot of freshmen and sophomores at the skill positions. They also have experienced players at key positions on defense.
- I don't think we'll be able to take advantage of Miami's weakness, which is their secondary. Because of this, I think you'll see a 2006-type game that's low scoring with a few big plays here and there that decide the game.
- Miami's big, skilled wide receivers will be able to make plays against our secondary, which has been exploited when we haven't been able to get pressure on the quarterback. These receivers aren't as good as Florida State's, but it's close. I've been very impressed with Aldarius Johnson this year.
- In the end, one mistake late will decide the game. Unfortunately, with this game being on the road, I think the Hokies make that mistake.
Watch the Box Score For:
1. Turnovers.
2. VT sacks
3. Miami rushing yards.
4. Non-offensive touchdowns.
VT Players to Watch:
8 - Greg Boone, Jr., TE/QB/RB
77 - Ed Wang, Jr, LT
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
95 - Taco Thompson, Jr., DT
Miami Players to Watch:
4 - Aldarius Johnson, Fr., WR
2 - Graig Cooper, So., RB
97 - Adewale Ojomo, Fr., DE
31 - Sean Spence, Fr., LB
Final Score: Miami 17, Virginia Tech 10
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
What to Watch vs. Maryland
Most stats are from cfbstats.com.
Lane Stadium
- Lane better be at its fiercest. This is a national televised Thursday night game in Blacksburg. After two lackluster environments in Boston and Tallahassee, I want to experience Lane as I know and love it. As a place where dreams go to die for opposing teams. As a place where Miami had its national title hopes doused in 2003. As a place where Clemson couldn't top 100 yards rushing with Davis and Spiller in 2006. If you plan on giving up if things don't go right for Holt or Glennon and the offense early, don't show up. But if you're going to try and will Virginia Tech to a much-needed win, feel free to join me at Lane on Saturday.
UPDATE: CGB agrees with my sentiment.
Offense
- It will be the movable object against the penetrable force when the Hokies have the ball. Virginia Tech has the worst offense in the ACC, averaging 280.0 YPG, while Maryland's D is No. 11 in the ACC, giving up 365.6 YPG.
- Whether it's Cory Holt or Sean Glennon at quarterback (my money's on Holt), the Hokies will stick to their run-first mentality. Probably more so than before. It will be up the offensive line, which isn't bad at run blocking, to open holes for Evans and Oglesby. The Hokies are No. 4 in the ACC in yards per game on the ground, averaging 160.0 yards per game. However, the Hokies get those yards by grinding it out. Only GT has more carries per game than Tech's 43.6 in the ACC.
- Maryland's defense gives up slightly more than what the Hokies average per carry. The Terps give up 3.7 yards per carry while the Hokies average 3.6.
- I don't think the Terps are as good on defense as they have been in years past, especially on the defensive line. Their best defensive player, Will Linebacker Dave Philistin, is questionable for the game with a shoulder injury. I like our offense's chances of moving the ball.
- Holt may not be as good a passer as Glennon, but he's a capable passer and is at least Tyrod's equal through the air. What I liked about Holt was he made his decisions, made them quickly and got rid of the ball. He took one sack, but for the most part was confident in the pocket and moved to either improve his throwing lane or escape a collapsing pocket. I think he'll be fine.
Defense
- The Terps will also look to run when they have the ball. They have two capable running backs, with the best being Da'Rel Scott. Not surprisingly, Scott has done much better in the Terps wins than in their losses. He averages 111.8 yards in Maryland's wins and 79.5 yards in its losses. Maryland loses when you force them to pass early and often. In its five wins, Scott averages almost 22 carries per game. In the two losses, he had 22 total carries.
- However, Scott is slowed by a sore shoulder and is questionable for Thursday's game. My guess is he plays, but not much. He'll probably get about five carries to see how the shoulder feels. That's not good for the Terps because Scott currently leads the ACC in yards per game at 102.6. He's eighth in the conference with 5.5 yards per carry.
- Freshman Davin Meggett was solid against NC State's porous defense a week and a half ago. Meggett is the son of former New England Patriot Dave Meggett. He came in for Scott late in the game against NC State and had a 31-yard reception that set up the game winning field goal.
- Meggett has the pedigree, but is untested. He has averaged 6.3 carries per game and has not carried the ball more than 13 times in a game. While the Hokie defense has not been as good this year as in the past, there is still a big difference between running against NC State and Delaware and running against Virginia Tech.
- While I would consider the Terps a run-first team, they are a very good passing team. Chris Turner has the Terps playing much better since he took over for Jordan Steffy. He has an experience O-line and plenty of targets to throw to.
- Turner, unlike Crane and Ponder, is not a threat to run and doesn't have good enough speed to avoid our defensive ends. The difference is I think Maryland's O-line is better than BC and FSU's. The results will be there for the defensive line if they can get pressure.
- The combination of the two wide receivers (Darrius Heyward-Bey and Danny Oquendo) and the tight end (Dan Gronkowski) is the best in the ACC, in my opinion. Maryland is No. 3 in the ACC in yards per attempt with 7.2. This is a problem for the Hokies, since they are D.A.L. in the ACC, giving up 7.7 YPA.
- I hope this doesn't turn into a replay of the BC game, where the Hokies are able to stop the run and do well against the pass for the most part, but are susceptible to big plays through the air. Deep field communication between Kam and Dorian Porch is going to be incredibly important Thursday.
Outcome
- For whatever reason, I am infinitely confident about Tech's chances on Thursday. It's the exact opposite feeling I had going into the Florida State game. I can't point to a tangible reason why I think we win this game going away, it's just the feeling I have. I think being back at home for a night game in The Burg will re-energize this team. I believe blindly in Cory Holt's ability to manage this offense and do enough to give the Hokies the win. I like Holt and hope this is his chance to do something he can be remembered for at Tech.
Check the Box Score for:
1. VT rushing yards
2. UMd rushing yards
3. Turnovers
4. VT sacks
(Yeah, yeah, I know. Not exactly going on a limb here. But it's going to be that kind of game. The major stats will decide it.)
VT Players to Watch
32 - Darren Evans, So., RB
12 - Cory Holt, Sr., QB
45 - Purnell Sturdivant, Sr., LB
17 - Kam Chancellor, Jr., FS
UMd Players to Watch
8 - Darrius Heyward-Bey, Jr., WR
41 - Davin Meggett, Fr., RB
55 - Trey Covington, Sr., LEO (DE/LB)
40 - Jeremy Navarre, Sr., DT
Score: Virginia Tech 27, Maryland 6
Lane Stadium
- Lane better be at its fiercest. This is a national televised Thursday night game in Blacksburg. After two lackluster environments in Boston and Tallahassee, I want to experience Lane as I know and love it. As a place where dreams go to die for opposing teams. As a place where Miami had its national title hopes doused in 2003. As a place where Clemson couldn't top 100 yards rushing with Davis and Spiller in 2006. If you plan on giving up if things don't go right for Holt or Glennon and the offense early, don't show up. But if you're going to try and will Virginia Tech to a much-needed win, feel free to join me at Lane on Saturday.
UPDATE: CGB agrees with my sentiment.
Offense
- It will be the movable object against the penetrable force when the Hokies have the ball. Virginia Tech has the worst offense in the ACC, averaging 280.0 YPG, while Maryland's D is No. 11 in the ACC, giving up 365.6 YPG.
- Whether it's Cory Holt or Sean Glennon at quarterback (my money's on Holt), the Hokies will stick to their run-first mentality. Probably more so than before. It will be up the offensive line, which isn't bad at run blocking, to open holes for Evans and Oglesby. The Hokies are No. 4 in the ACC in yards per game on the ground, averaging 160.0 yards per game. However, the Hokies get those yards by grinding it out. Only GT has more carries per game than Tech's 43.6 in the ACC.
- Maryland's defense gives up slightly more than what the Hokies average per carry. The Terps give up 3.7 yards per carry while the Hokies average 3.6.
- I don't think the Terps are as good on defense as they have been in years past, especially on the defensive line. Their best defensive player, Will Linebacker Dave Philistin, is questionable for the game with a shoulder injury. I like our offense's chances of moving the ball.
- Holt may not be as good a passer as Glennon, but he's a capable passer and is at least Tyrod's equal through the air. What I liked about Holt was he made his decisions, made them quickly and got rid of the ball. He took one sack, but for the most part was confident in the pocket and moved to either improve his throwing lane or escape a collapsing pocket. I think he'll be fine.
Defense
- The Terps will also look to run when they have the ball. They have two capable running backs, with the best being Da'Rel Scott. Not surprisingly, Scott has done much better in the Terps wins than in their losses. He averages 111.8 yards in Maryland's wins and 79.5 yards in its losses. Maryland loses when you force them to pass early and often. In its five wins, Scott averages almost 22 carries per game. In the two losses, he had 22 total carries.
- However, Scott is slowed by a sore shoulder and is questionable for Thursday's game. My guess is he plays, but not much. He'll probably get about five carries to see how the shoulder feels. That's not good for the Terps because Scott currently leads the ACC in yards per game at 102.6. He's eighth in the conference with 5.5 yards per carry.
- Freshman Davin Meggett was solid against NC State's porous defense a week and a half ago. Meggett is the son of former New England Patriot Dave Meggett. He came in for Scott late in the game against NC State and had a 31-yard reception that set up the game winning field goal.
- Meggett has the pedigree, but is untested. He has averaged 6.3 carries per game and has not carried the ball more than 13 times in a game. While the Hokie defense has not been as good this year as in the past, there is still a big difference between running against NC State and Delaware and running against Virginia Tech.
- While I would consider the Terps a run-first team, they are a very good passing team. Chris Turner has the Terps playing much better since he took over for Jordan Steffy. He has an experience O-line and plenty of targets to throw to.
- Turner, unlike Crane and Ponder, is not a threat to run and doesn't have good enough speed to avoid our defensive ends. The difference is I think Maryland's O-line is better than BC and FSU's. The results will be there for the defensive line if they can get pressure.
- The combination of the two wide receivers (Darrius Heyward-Bey and Danny Oquendo) and the tight end (Dan Gronkowski) is the best in the ACC, in my opinion. Maryland is No. 3 in the ACC in yards per attempt with 7.2. This is a problem for the Hokies, since they are D.A.L. in the ACC, giving up 7.7 YPA.
- I hope this doesn't turn into a replay of the BC game, where the Hokies are able to stop the run and do well against the pass for the most part, but are susceptible to big plays through the air. Deep field communication between Kam and Dorian Porch is going to be incredibly important Thursday.
Outcome
- For whatever reason, I am infinitely confident about Tech's chances on Thursday. It's the exact opposite feeling I had going into the Florida State game. I can't point to a tangible reason why I think we win this game going away, it's just the feeling I have. I think being back at home for a night game in The Burg will re-energize this team. I believe blindly in Cory Holt's ability to manage this offense and do enough to give the Hokies the win. I like Holt and hope this is his chance to do something he can be remembered for at Tech.
Check the Box Score for:
1. VT rushing yards
2. UMd rushing yards
3. Turnovers
4. VT sacks
(Yeah, yeah, I know. Not exactly going on a limb here. But it's going to be that kind of game. The major stats will decide it.)
VT Players to Watch
32 - Darren Evans, So., RB
12 - Cory Holt, Sr., QB
45 - Purnell Sturdivant, Sr., LB
17 - Kam Chancellor, Jr., FS
UMd Players to Watch
8 - Darrius Heyward-Bey, Jr., WR
41 - Davin Meggett, Fr., RB
55 - Trey Covington, Sr., LEO (DE/LB)
40 - Jeremy Navarre, Sr., DT
Score: Virginia Tech 27, Maryland 6
Thursday, October 23, 2008
What to Watch vs. FSU
Most of the stats below are from cfbstats.com.
Offense
- It doesn't look good. It's been highly publicized that the Hokies are No. 110 in the country in total offense, No. 11 in the ACC ahead of NC State. They will face a Seminole defense that is loaded with talent, experience and, of course, speed.
- At some point, the Hokies are going to have to move the ball through the air. FSU already plays a lot of man in its secondary, and they probably won't have to do much else against Virginia Tech. The Seminole secondary has more speed than the Hokies do at wide receiver, this presents a lot of matchup problems for the Hokies because it allows FSU to load to box against Virginia Tech's rushing attack.
- The Hokies have the least amount of passing yards in the conference, even fewer than Georgia Tech, which runs an option attack. That's just embarrassing.
- The passing has to improve against FSU because it can't get much worse. The media has harped on Tyrod's ability to throw against man defenses. But I don't think it's going to matter much against FSU. The receivers can't get open and when they do, they are either overthrown or drop the ball.
- The Hokies need to focus on working the middle of the field against FSU by getting the ball to the tight ends and running backs. Greg Boone disappeared against BC. He and the rest of the tight ends need to reemerge this week for Tech to have a chance.
- FSU's defense is fast enough to keep up with Tyrod, so I think the running backs need to have a good game against Florida State. They didn't have much success against the Noles last year as Branden Ore averaged 2.5 YPC and Kenny Lewis 3.4. Somehow, the interior lineman need to find a way to win the battle against Budd Thacker and Co.
- Virginia Tech's rushing attack will be the best FSU has seen so far, but there is no overlooking how good the Noles have been against the run this year. They're giving up 79.5 YPG, best in the ACC.
- The problem is the Hokies never do anything unexpected. Our M.O. is well-documented and when that fails, that's pretty much the ballgame. The current offensive staff has shown no imagination when it comes to designing a game plan with built-in countermeasures for when the power run game fails. I realize the goal is to wear down the opposition and then dominate them on the ground in the fourth quarter. But some teams don't wear down. BC didn't and I doubt FSU will, especially at home.
- The Hokies face the No. 2 red zone defense in the country one week after facing the No. 1 red zone defense. FSU has allowed opponents into the red zone 18 times and have allowed opponents to score 11 times (61.1 percent). In fact, the Noles are even better at forcing red zone field goals than BC. Only five touchdowns have been scored on FSU in the 18 times the opponent has been in the red zone (27.8 percent). That's not good news for the Hokies, who are No. 11 in the ACC in red zone touchdown percentage at 44.8 percent (13 of 29). Last week against BC, the Hokies had only one trip into the red zone, which resulted in a field goal.
Defense
- The Hokies are +12 in the turnover department, best in the ACC. They are tied for the second-most forced turnovers in the conference with GT with 19, one behind WF. The Noles, meanwhile are -5 in turnovers, No. 11 in the ACC ahead of Clemson. The Noles have coughed the ball up 14 times, No. 8 in the ACC. The cause of the turnovers is fairly even for both teams. The Hokies have 10 fumble recoveries and nine picks. The Noles have lost six fumbles and had eight passes intercepted.
- Tech will need turnovers Saturday just like they had against BC. They need to keep the field short for the offense and have turnovers lead to points.
- Missed assignments, blown coverages and cornerbacks getting beat have all been an epidemic for the Hokies. BC had marginal success taking advantage of mistakes in the secondary last week, but couldn't break a big touchdown because its receivers didn't have the speed. FSU's receivers do have the speed. If they get behind the Tech secondary, it's six.
- FSU quarterback Christian Ponder is not the same QB the Hokies saw last year. He's matured, made the quarterback job his and led a Seminole comeback last week on the road. The Hokies can't afford to sit back and wait for mistakes from Ponder. They will have to put pressure on him.
- However, like Chris Crane, Ponder is just mobile enough to turn potential big losses into no gain or even pick up a couple yards.
- The Seminole ground game is better than it was last year and features Antone Smith, a home run-hitter on the ground for the Noles. He's broken a couple big touchdowns so far this year and is tough to bring down. It's one of the reasons he's the ACC's leading scorer with 66 points.
- Smith averages 4.8 yards per carry, 3.7 in three conference games. He, along with the entire FSU team, struggled against Wake Forest. However, the Seminoles have improved vastly in their last three games against Colorado, Miami and NC State. All three of those games were away from Doak Campbell Stadium.
Outcome
- For the first time ever, I am going to a Virginia Tech game fully expecting the Hokies to lose. Assuming I make it to the Florida Panhandle, it will be the 24th Hokie game I've seen in my life and for the first time, I'm making the trip with no hope. We're going to lose. Usually I'm delusional: I thought we would win the 2000 Sugar Bowl, I thought we would win the 2005 Sugar Bowl, I even swore we would upset LSU last year. But I can't see a way the Hokies escape Tallahassee with a win. Both teams are young and will make mistakes. However, FSU has a lot more talent on both sides of the ball than the Hokies. I know they haven't played very good teams. I know how bad they looked against Wake. But they've gotten a lot better, especially Ponder.
Check the Box Score for:
1. VT passing yards.
2. FSU rushing yards.
3. Turnovers.
4. FSU special teams YPR.
VT Players to Watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
88 - Andre Smith, So., TE
45 - Purnell Sturdivant, SR., LB
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
FSU Players to Watch:
7 - Christian Ponder, So., QB
5 - Preston Parker, Jr., WR
72 - Budd Thacker, Jr., DT
3 - Myron Rolle, Jr., ROV
Score: Florida State 31, Virginia Tech 10
Offense
- It doesn't look good. It's been highly publicized that the Hokies are No. 110 in the country in total offense, No. 11 in the ACC ahead of NC State. They will face a Seminole defense that is loaded with talent, experience and, of course, speed.
- At some point, the Hokies are going to have to move the ball through the air. FSU already plays a lot of man in its secondary, and they probably won't have to do much else against Virginia Tech. The Seminole secondary has more speed than the Hokies do at wide receiver, this presents a lot of matchup problems for the Hokies because it allows FSU to load to box against Virginia Tech's rushing attack.
- The Hokies have the least amount of passing yards in the conference, even fewer than Georgia Tech, which runs an option attack. That's just embarrassing.
- The passing has to improve against FSU because it can't get much worse. The media has harped on Tyrod's ability to throw against man defenses. But I don't think it's going to matter much against FSU. The receivers can't get open and when they do, they are either overthrown or drop the ball.
- The Hokies need to focus on working the middle of the field against FSU by getting the ball to the tight ends and running backs. Greg Boone disappeared against BC. He and the rest of the tight ends need to reemerge this week for Tech to have a chance.
- FSU's defense is fast enough to keep up with Tyrod, so I think the running backs need to have a good game against Florida State. They didn't have much success against the Noles last year as Branden Ore averaged 2.5 YPC and Kenny Lewis 3.4. Somehow, the interior lineman need to find a way to win the battle against Budd Thacker and Co.
- Virginia Tech's rushing attack will be the best FSU has seen so far, but there is no overlooking how good the Noles have been against the run this year. They're giving up 79.5 YPG, best in the ACC.
- The problem is the Hokies never do anything unexpected. Our M.O. is well-documented and when that fails, that's pretty much the ballgame. The current offensive staff has shown no imagination when it comes to designing a game plan with built-in countermeasures for when the power run game fails. I realize the goal is to wear down the opposition and then dominate them on the ground in the fourth quarter. But some teams don't wear down. BC didn't and I doubt FSU will, especially at home.
- The Hokies face the No. 2 red zone defense in the country one week after facing the No. 1 red zone defense. FSU has allowed opponents into the red zone 18 times and have allowed opponents to score 11 times (61.1 percent). In fact, the Noles are even better at forcing red zone field goals than BC. Only five touchdowns have been scored on FSU in the 18 times the opponent has been in the red zone (27.8 percent). That's not good news for the Hokies, who are No. 11 in the ACC in red zone touchdown percentage at 44.8 percent (13 of 29). Last week against BC, the Hokies had only one trip into the red zone, which resulted in a field goal.
Defense
- The Hokies are +12 in the turnover department, best in the ACC. They are tied for the second-most forced turnovers in the conference with GT with 19, one behind WF. The Noles, meanwhile are -5 in turnovers, No. 11 in the ACC ahead of Clemson. The Noles have coughed the ball up 14 times, No. 8 in the ACC. The cause of the turnovers is fairly even for both teams. The Hokies have 10 fumble recoveries and nine picks. The Noles have lost six fumbles and had eight passes intercepted.
- Tech will need turnovers Saturday just like they had against BC. They need to keep the field short for the offense and have turnovers lead to points.
- Missed assignments, blown coverages and cornerbacks getting beat have all been an epidemic for the Hokies. BC had marginal success taking advantage of mistakes in the secondary last week, but couldn't break a big touchdown because its receivers didn't have the speed. FSU's receivers do have the speed. If they get behind the Tech secondary, it's six.
- FSU quarterback Christian Ponder is not the same QB the Hokies saw last year. He's matured, made the quarterback job his and led a Seminole comeback last week on the road. The Hokies can't afford to sit back and wait for mistakes from Ponder. They will have to put pressure on him.
- However, like Chris Crane, Ponder is just mobile enough to turn potential big losses into no gain or even pick up a couple yards.
- The Seminole ground game is better than it was last year and features Antone Smith, a home run-hitter on the ground for the Noles. He's broken a couple big touchdowns so far this year and is tough to bring down. It's one of the reasons he's the ACC's leading scorer with 66 points.
- Smith averages 4.8 yards per carry, 3.7 in three conference games. He, along with the entire FSU team, struggled against Wake Forest. However, the Seminoles have improved vastly in their last three games against Colorado, Miami and NC State. All three of those games were away from Doak Campbell Stadium.
Outcome
- For the first time ever, I am going to a Virginia Tech game fully expecting the Hokies to lose. Assuming I make it to the Florida Panhandle, it will be the 24th Hokie game I've seen in my life and for the first time, I'm making the trip with no hope. We're going to lose. Usually I'm delusional: I thought we would win the 2000 Sugar Bowl, I thought we would win the 2005 Sugar Bowl, I even swore we would upset LSU last year. But I can't see a way the Hokies escape Tallahassee with a win. Both teams are young and will make mistakes. However, FSU has a lot more talent on both sides of the ball than the Hokies. I know they haven't played very good teams. I know how bad they looked against Wake. But they've gotten a lot better, especially Ponder.
Check the Box Score for:
1. VT passing yards.
2. FSU rushing yards.
3. Turnovers.
4. FSU special teams YPR.
VT Players to Watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
88 - Andre Smith, So., TE
45 - Purnell Sturdivant, SR., LB
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
FSU Players to Watch:
7 - Christian Ponder, So., QB
5 - Preston Parker, Jr., WR
72 - Budd Thacker, Jr., DT
3 - Myron Rolle, Jr., ROV
Score: Florida State 31, Virginia Tech 10
Thursday, October 16, 2008
What to Watch vs. BC
This post usually goes up Friday, but that's a travel day for me, so enjoy an early edition of What to Watch. A lot of the stats below are from cfbstats.com.
Offense
- Don't expect a lot from Darren Evans and the rest of the running backs Saturday. BC has one of the better front sevens we'll face this year, if not the best. Running between the tackles might not be an option.
- Could we see some zone-read options from Tyrod Taylor this week? We might. The Hokies will need to get to the outside to use Tyrod's speed this week. This is a game Kenny Lewis could have excelled in. His shiftiness and quickness to the outside would have helped against the Eagles.
- Eagle in Atlanta said earlier this week he expects BC to play back and force Tyrod to beat them with his arm. He's improved as a passer from week to week and could break out against the Eagles if they force it. He was able to find open receivers against the Huskers and was able to make big plays when the Hokies needed it against the Hilltoppers.
- This is going to be Tyrod's game to win or lose. As unfair as that is, he will be the one who is going to have to sustain drives either through the air or by tucking and running. If he's successful, the Hokies will be able to put up points and win easily. If he has a bad game, it could be a repeat of the '06 game.
- The Hokies have had trouble in the red zone this year. They are 10th in the ACC at scoring touchdowns in the red zone (46.4 percent). Miami is the only ACC team with a higher percentage of red zone trips end in field goals than the Hokies. On the other side, BC is the best red zone defense in the ACC. Only 54.6 percent of red zone drives have ended in points against the Eagles. Of course, they are also tied for fewest red zone chances against. For the Hokies to win Saturday, they have to do a better job with their red zone chances. And I think they'll get a few of them because the defense will be able to force turnovers.
Defense
- I think the Hokies will be able to get pressure on Chris Crane. They may not result in sacks because of Crane's mobility, but he will be forced to make decisions quicker than he wants to.
- BC always has a good offensive line, but this year's doesn't impress me as much as the last two lines they've had. They lost a lot of talent from last year's line and this one, to me, doesn't seem to have gelled just yet. I think Tech's three solid defensive ends will get to know Crane pretty well over the 60 minutes on Saturday.
- This favors the Hokies because it will negate their one weakness on defense so far this year: The deep middle part of the field. Between the pressure on Crane and BC's receivers not being burners, the Eagles won't have time to exploit the troubles Kam Chancellor and Tech's rovers have had this season.
- BC's run game is improved this year, but I don't think it has improved enough to be a factor against the Hokies. Tech is in the middle of the pack this year in run defense because they were gashed by teams running some form of option attack: ECU, GT and WKU. Against traditional rushing attacks, like the one BC will throw at them, they have been outstanding.
- Georgia Tech was able to hold BC to 2.9 yards per carry when they faced each other. I think you'll see a similar number Saturday.
Outcome
- This will be a low-scoring, hard-fought game that will come down to turnovers. So far, Tyrod has done a good job of protecting the ball and not making mistakes to cost the Hokies. Tech's defense, meanwhile, has intercepted four passes in the last three games and is tied for the ACC lead in fumbles recovered with eight. I said the same thing going into the Nebraska game: Someone of defense will make a play late that wins us the game. I also like VT's odds in a close game because our special teams are far superior to BC's. Both our punter and kicker are much better than BC's options at both positions.
Check the box score for:
1. Turnovers.
2. Tyrod Taylor rushing yards.
3. Chris Crane comp. %.
4. Chris Crane rushing yards.
VT Players to Watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
8 - Greg Boone, Jr., TE
6 - Jason Worilds, So., DE
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
BC Players to Watch
10 - Chris Crane, Sr., QB
60 - Ron Brace, Sr., DT
16 - Brian Toal, Sr., LB/FB
1 - Josh Haden, Fr., RB
Score: Virginia Tech 20, Boston College 14
Offense
- Don't expect a lot from Darren Evans and the rest of the running backs Saturday. BC has one of the better front sevens we'll face this year, if not the best. Running between the tackles might not be an option.
- Could we see some zone-read options from Tyrod Taylor this week? We might. The Hokies will need to get to the outside to use Tyrod's speed this week. This is a game Kenny Lewis could have excelled in. His shiftiness and quickness to the outside would have helped against the Eagles.
- Eagle in Atlanta said earlier this week he expects BC to play back and force Tyrod to beat them with his arm. He's improved as a passer from week to week and could break out against the Eagles if they force it. He was able to find open receivers against the Huskers and was able to make big plays when the Hokies needed it against the Hilltoppers.
- This is going to be Tyrod's game to win or lose. As unfair as that is, he will be the one who is going to have to sustain drives either through the air or by tucking and running. If he's successful, the Hokies will be able to put up points and win easily. If he has a bad game, it could be a repeat of the '06 game.
- The Hokies have had trouble in the red zone this year. They are 10th in the ACC at scoring touchdowns in the red zone (46.4 percent). Miami is the only ACC team with a higher percentage of red zone trips end in field goals than the Hokies. On the other side, BC is the best red zone defense in the ACC. Only 54.6 percent of red zone drives have ended in points against the Eagles. Of course, they are also tied for fewest red zone chances against. For the Hokies to win Saturday, they have to do a better job with their red zone chances. And I think they'll get a few of them because the defense will be able to force turnovers.
Defense
- I think the Hokies will be able to get pressure on Chris Crane. They may not result in sacks because of Crane's mobility, but he will be forced to make decisions quicker than he wants to.
- BC always has a good offensive line, but this year's doesn't impress me as much as the last two lines they've had. They lost a lot of talent from last year's line and this one, to me, doesn't seem to have gelled just yet. I think Tech's three solid defensive ends will get to know Crane pretty well over the 60 minutes on Saturday.
- This favors the Hokies because it will negate their one weakness on defense so far this year: The deep middle part of the field. Between the pressure on Crane and BC's receivers not being burners, the Eagles won't have time to exploit the troubles Kam Chancellor and Tech's rovers have had this season.
- BC's run game is improved this year, but I don't think it has improved enough to be a factor against the Hokies. Tech is in the middle of the pack this year in run defense because they were gashed by teams running some form of option attack: ECU, GT and WKU. Against traditional rushing attacks, like the one BC will throw at them, they have been outstanding.
- Georgia Tech was able to hold BC to 2.9 yards per carry when they faced each other. I think you'll see a similar number Saturday.
Outcome
- This will be a low-scoring, hard-fought game that will come down to turnovers. So far, Tyrod has done a good job of protecting the ball and not making mistakes to cost the Hokies. Tech's defense, meanwhile, has intercepted four passes in the last three games and is tied for the ACC lead in fumbles recovered with eight. I said the same thing going into the Nebraska game: Someone of defense will make a play late that wins us the game. I also like VT's odds in a close game because our special teams are far superior to BC's. Both our punter and kicker are much better than BC's options at both positions.
Check the box score for:
1. Turnovers.
2. Tyrod Taylor rushing yards.
3. Chris Crane comp. %.
4. Chris Crane rushing yards.
VT Players to Watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
8 - Greg Boone, Jr., TE
6 - Jason Worilds, So., DE
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
BC Players to Watch
10 - Chris Crane, Sr., QB
60 - Ron Brace, Sr., DT
16 - Brian Toal, Sr., LB/FB
1 - Josh Haden, Fr., RB
Score: Virginia Tech 20, Boston College 14
Friday, October 3, 2008
What to Watch vs. WKU
Offense
- WKU runs a 3-4 defense, so if the Hokies wanted to, they could not run a pass play and still win by two touchdowns. I-A opponents are averaging over 264 yards per game and 6.2 yards per carry against the Hilltopper defense. The second half means it's Josh Oglesby time.
- While the Hokies could just give the ball to Darren Evans 20 times in the first half and call it a day, I think they'll try to establish the pass early. Tyrod was able to find open receivers against Nebraska's slow defense and they want to continue to build on what they established last week.
- Jarrett Boykin pulled down two catches for 58 yards against the Huskers, but that isn't exactly establishing yourself. Saturday is his chance to assert himself as the go-to guy among the receivers. No Hokie had more than two catches against Nebraska and Tyrod needs a target he can rely on.
- The Hilltoppers haven't been completely horrible against the pass when they've played I-A opponents. They're giving up 6.4 yards per pass against I-A competition, compared to 5.6 against I-AA teams. I-AA teams are actually averaging more yards per game through the air than I-A opponents against WKU, but that stat is misleading because a lot of those yards came during futile comeback attempts.
- In their three games against I-A teams, the Hilltoppers have given up five touchdowns and intercepted two passes. It won't be as easy to throw against them as you might think, but the Hokies still need to develop their passing game, rather than just be content with running the ball down WKU's throat.
- The Hokies only used five offensive lineman against the Huskers, which is a Catch-22. It's good to have Blake DeChristopher back and have the line build chemistry that was missed during the three and a half games he was good. However, the WKU game is chance to see some depth develop on the offensive line. Because right now, we're still one injury away from everything going to hell in a handbasket. Again.
- I think the Hokies should try to focus on the passing game in the first half to build momentum with Tyrod and the young receiving corps. The second half should be used to develop depth on the offensive line and get carries for Josh Oglesby.
Defense
- The Hilltoppers have made a change at quarterback and have an emerging star at running back.
- This won't be QB David Wolke's first start of the season, but it will be his first in place of regular starter KJ Black. Black was injured earlier in the year and Wolke started against Alabama and Murray State. However, Black returned last week and both quarterbacks were atrocious, combining for 15 yards passing.
- Wolke is the more accurate passer, but less nimble. He'll be a sitting duck for the Hokie pass rush. My guess is you'll see both quarterbacks and like against Kentucky, neither will be very effective.
- The Hilltoppers run the spread so you'll get to see newly-named starter and redshirt freshman running back Bobby Rainey get the ball early and often. Rainey established himself as the Hilltopper best running back against Kentucky. He ran for 99 yards on 11 carries, including a 40-yard run.
- Rainey is also a threat returning kicks. He's had 74-yard and 92-yard kickoff returns in the last two weeks. That's not good for the Hokies. Beamer said after the Nebraska game they've had trouble getting kicks into the end zone.
- With WKU running the spread, a lot of pressure will again be put on the Hokie secondary. The secondary's speed will be needed against a spread attack that features a solid running back. I don't expect the Hilltoppers to score more than one touchdown Saturday, but I think they'll break a couple of big plays. It'll be a good learning experience for Dorian Porch, who is a solid rover against the pass, but needs more work against the run.
Outcome
- The Hilltoppers will keep it within two touchdowns in the first half as the Hokies do well against the spread on defense, but give up a big play for a score. The Hokies will try to throw the ball more in the first half and have moderate success. It'll be 21-7 at half and Tech will roll in the second half when the Hokies get a couple of big plays through the air and then pound it on the ground late.
Watch the box score for:
1. Tyrod YPA
2. VT sacks
3. WKU return yards
4. Turnovers
VT players to watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
81 - Jarrett Boykin, Fr., WR
6 - Jason Worilds, So., DE
24 - Dorian Porch, Jr., ROV
WKU players to watch:
17 - Bobby Rainey, Fr., RB
3 - David Wolke, Sr., QB
6 - Blake Boyd, Jr., LB
21 - Jihad Morris, Jr., CB
Score: Virginia Tech 42, WKU 10
- WKU runs a 3-4 defense, so if the Hokies wanted to, they could not run a pass play and still win by two touchdowns. I-A opponents are averaging over 264 yards per game and 6.2 yards per carry against the Hilltopper defense. The second half means it's Josh Oglesby time.
- While the Hokies could just give the ball to Darren Evans 20 times in the first half and call it a day, I think they'll try to establish the pass early. Tyrod was able to find open receivers against Nebraska's slow defense and they want to continue to build on what they established last week.
- Jarrett Boykin pulled down two catches for 58 yards against the Huskers, but that isn't exactly establishing yourself. Saturday is his chance to assert himself as the go-to guy among the receivers. No Hokie had more than two catches against Nebraska and Tyrod needs a target he can rely on.
- The Hilltoppers haven't been completely horrible against the pass when they've played I-A opponents. They're giving up 6.4 yards per pass against I-A competition, compared to 5.6 against I-AA teams. I-AA teams are actually averaging more yards per game through the air than I-A opponents against WKU, but that stat is misleading because a lot of those yards came during futile comeback attempts.
- In their three games against I-A teams, the Hilltoppers have given up five touchdowns and intercepted two passes. It won't be as easy to throw against them as you might think, but the Hokies still need to develop their passing game, rather than just be content with running the ball down WKU's throat.
- The Hokies only used five offensive lineman against the Huskers, which is a Catch-22. It's good to have Blake DeChristopher back and have the line build chemistry that was missed during the three and a half games he was good. However, the WKU game is chance to see some depth develop on the offensive line. Because right now, we're still one injury away from everything going to hell in a handbasket. Again.
- I think the Hokies should try to focus on the passing game in the first half to build momentum with Tyrod and the young receiving corps. The second half should be used to develop depth on the offensive line and get carries for Josh Oglesby.
Defense
- The Hilltoppers have made a change at quarterback and have an emerging star at running back.
- This won't be QB David Wolke's first start of the season, but it will be his first in place of regular starter KJ Black. Black was injured earlier in the year and Wolke started against Alabama and Murray State. However, Black returned last week and both quarterbacks were atrocious, combining for 15 yards passing.
- Wolke is the more accurate passer, but less nimble. He'll be a sitting duck for the Hokie pass rush. My guess is you'll see both quarterbacks and like against Kentucky, neither will be very effective.
- The Hilltoppers run the spread so you'll get to see newly-named starter and redshirt freshman running back Bobby Rainey get the ball early and often. Rainey established himself as the Hilltopper best running back against Kentucky. He ran for 99 yards on 11 carries, including a 40-yard run.
- Rainey is also a threat returning kicks. He's had 74-yard and 92-yard kickoff returns in the last two weeks. That's not good for the Hokies. Beamer said after the Nebraska game they've had trouble getting kicks into the end zone.
- With WKU running the spread, a lot of pressure will again be put on the Hokie secondary. The secondary's speed will be needed against a spread attack that features a solid running back. I don't expect the Hilltoppers to score more than one touchdown Saturday, but I think they'll break a couple of big plays. It'll be a good learning experience for Dorian Porch, who is a solid rover against the pass, but needs more work against the run.
Outcome
- The Hilltoppers will keep it within two touchdowns in the first half as the Hokies do well against the spread on defense, but give up a big play for a score. The Hokies will try to throw the ball more in the first half and have moderate success. It'll be 21-7 at half and Tech will roll in the second half when the Hokies get a couple of big plays through the air and then pound it on the ground late.
Watch the box score for:
1. Tyrod YPA
2. VT sacks
3. WKU return yards
4. Turnovers
VT players to watch:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, So., QB
81 - Jarrett Boykin, Fr., WR
6 - Jason Worilds, So., DE
24 - Dorian Porch, Jr., ROV
WKU players to watch:
17 - Bobby Rainey, Fr., RB
3 - David Wolke, Sr., QB
6 - Blake Boyd, Jr., LB
21 - Jihad Morris, Jr., CB
Score: Virginia Tech 42, WKU 10
Friday, September 26, 2008
What to Watch vs. Nebraska
Offense
- Nebraska will be able to get pressure. Ndamukong Suh (en-dom-ah-ken SUE) is a talented (and large) defensive tackle who will be able to get pressure up the middle and also clog running lanes.
- Suh, pictured above against New Mexico State, presents a challenge the Hokies haven't face this year. He's able to pressure the quarterback up the middle. In the last two games, pressure on Tyrod Taylor has come largely from the defensive ends, allowing him to move up in the pocket and escape to the open field. Against the Huskers, Tyrod will more often than not be flushed to one side of the pocket or the other.
- I actually think this will help Tyrod. For one, he's a short guy and getting forced outside the pocket will help him see receivers downfield. Also, his speed and agility is best used on the sidelines, especially against a defense that shows a lot of man coverage in the secondary. Instead of escaping the pocket up the middle, where defensive tackles and linebackers were often waiting for him, he'll be forced to the boundaries, where cornerbacks and safeties will be covering receivers and not focusing on Tyrod. Also, Tech's receivers are good blockers, which serves them well in this scenario.
- I think Nebraska will be able to stop the run early, but the Hokies will eventually wear them down on the ground and will be able to gain yards late in the game. That's if they decide to stick with the game plan (a la North Carolina) instead of ditch it and panic (a la Kansas).
- If the Huskers are able to stop the run and contain Tyrod, I think you'll see Sean Glennon play a significant role. Glennon will be able to throw on Nebraska's secondary if needed.
Defense
- Nebraska's receivers are deceptive. They are primarily possession receivers, so technique and positioning will be crucial for the secondary. However, they if you get lulled to sleep, they're able to break a big play, especially Nate Swift.
- I think the Hokies will be able to stop the Nebraska ground game. The defensive line has improved every week.
- Quarterback Joe Ganz has good moves when out of the pocket. Don't think he can't hurt you with his feet. Containment will be key for the Hokies, just like the Huskers.
- I think this is the game Macho Harris finally breaks out and gets a pick.
Outcome
- Someone on defense will make a play that wins us this game.
Check the box score for:
1. Turnovers
2. NU third down %
3. VT yards per rush
4. NU sacks
VT Players to Watch
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
19 - Danny Coale, Fr., WR
33 - Brett Warren, Sr., LB
7 - Sean Glennon, Sr., QB
NU Players to Watch
93 - Ndamukong Suh, Jr., NT
12 - Joe Ganz, Sr., QB
6 - Armando Murillo, Sr., CB
87 - Nate Swift, Sr., WR
Score: Virginia Tech 27, Nebraska 23
- Nebraska will be able to get pressure. Ndamukong Suh (en-dom-ah-ken SUE) is a talented (and large) defensive tackle who will be able to get pressure up the middle and also clog running lanes.
- Suh, pictured above against New Mexico State, presents a challenge the Hokies haven't face this year. He's able to pressure the quarterback up the middle. In the last two games, pressure on Tyrod Taylor has come largely from the defensive ends, allowing him to move up in the pocket and escape to the open field. Against the Huskers, Tyrod will more often than not be flushed to one side of the pocket or the other.
- I actually think this will help Tyrod. For one, he's a short guy and getting forced outside the pocket will help him see receivers downfield. Also, his speed and agility is best used on the sidelines, especially against a defense that shows a lot of man coverage in the secondary. Instead of escaping the pocket up the middle, where defensive tackles and linebackers were often waiting for him, he'll be forced to the boundaries, where cornerbacks and safeties will be covering receivers and not focusing on Tyrod. Also, Tech's receivers are good blockers, which serves them well in this scenario.
- I think Nebraska will be able to stop the run early, but the Hokies will eventually wear them down on the ground and will be able to gain yards late in the game. That's if they decide to stick with the game plan (a la North Carolina) instead of ditch it and panic (a la Kansas).
- If the Huskers are able to stop the run and contain Tyrod, I think you'll see Sean Glennon play a significant role. Glennon will be able to throw on Nebraska's secondary if needed.
Defense
- Nebraska's receivers are deceptive. They are primarily possession receivers, so technique and positioning will be crucial for the secondary. However, they if you get lulled to sleep, they're able to break a big play, especially Nate Swift.
- I think the Hokies will be able to stop the Nebraska ground game. The defensive line has improved every week.
- Quarterback Joe Ganz has good moves when out of the pocket. Don't think he can't hurt you with his feet. Containment will be key for the Hokies, just like the Huskers.
- I think this is the game Macho Harris finally breaks out and gets a pick.
Outcome
- Someone on defense will make a play that wins us this game.
Check the box score for:
1. Turnovers
2. NU third down %
3. VT yards per rush
4. NU sacks
VT Players to Watch
1 - Macho Harris, Sr., CB
19 - Danny Coale, Fr., WR
33 - Brett Warren, Sr., LB
7 - Sean Glennon, Sr., QB
NU Players to Watch
93 - Ndamukong Suh, Jr., NT
12 - Joe Ganz, Sr., QB
6 - Armando Murillo, Sr., CB
87 - Nate Swift, Sr., WR
Score: Virginia Tech 27, Nebraska 23
Friday, September 19, 2008
What to Watch vs. North Carolina
The Stands
Hokie fans are notorious for taking over Kenan Stadium. The amount of Tar Heel Blue was up in 2006 from 2004 and I have a feeling with Carolina's recent success, it might be more difficult for the Hokies to make this similar to the Cubs playing in Milwaukee. Still, I expect a lot of orange and maroon Saturday.
Offense
The running back situation will go like this: Kenny Lewis will start, the first series will go three-and-out and Darren Evans will get most of the carries in the first quarter and the first half of the second. After that, look for more Lewis and some Josh Oglesby (with maybe some Dustin Pickle sprinkled in) in the second quarter and most of the third. Then Evans will get all the carries in the fourth quarter.
While Evans is by far the most effect back the Hokies have used so far, I have no problem with this. Why? Because it means Evans is fresh for the fourth quarter. All the good teams do this. Oklahoma would even do it with Adrian Peterson. He would get spelled during most of the third quarter and then dominate in the fourth.
If the Hokies are going to win, they need to wear down the Tar Heels in the first three quarters by pounding the ball against the UNC front seven. The Hokies have to keep it close so Evans can be the difference maker in the fourth quarter.
Look at what happened against Georgia Tech. Evans had one carry until late in the third quarter. After that, he had three of the last four carries by running backs in the third and all six carries by running backs in the fourth quarter. Evans was a beast against the Yellow Jackets and I look for him to be the same against the Tar Heels.
However, I don't think it's going to be enough. At some point in this game, the Hokies will need a big play in the passing game. And it can't come from Tyrod Taylor dropping back, tucking and running. They will need to hit a home run through the air. Something they haven't done so far this year.
The Tar Heels will stack the box against Taylor to both try and stop the run and to try and contain him when he tries to scramble. Unless he makes plays with his arm, there won't be much room for the running backs to run.
The Tar Heel secondary played better than they have played in years against Rutgers. Only time will tell if this was because of how terrible Rutgers is or how good the Carolina secondary has become. Personally, I was impressed with the secondary. They played with confidence and swagger against the Scarlet Knights. They will have the same swagger in front of the home crowd Saturday.
Defense
It will come down to how much pressure the Hokies can get on TJ Yates. I think the Carolina passing game will be all or nothing on Saturday. It will have one or two big plays from Hakeem Nicks and Brandon Tate. However, the Tar Heel passing game will also have periods where it is disrupted and out of sync because of the Hokie front four.
I was very impressed with both Nekos Brown and Jason Worilds against Georgia Tech. They both raised their level of play with Cam Martin not nearly 100 percent. Martin will be back Saturday, but may not be at full speed. I think it will again be up to Brown and Worilds to make plays. But it does make me feel good to know the Hokies can rotate three defensive ends again.
The defensive tackles looked completely different against Georgia Tech than against ECU and Furman. They had the Jacket snap count down and were very disruptive when I had though the Jackets would be able to run up the middle all day on the Hokies.
John Graves and company will have to have the same type of game for the Hokies to win Saturday. Because of how they played against Georgia Tech, I think the Hokies will be able to stop the Tar Heels on the ground. However, if they revert to their form from the ECU and Furman games, the Hokies are in trouble. Stopping the ground game makes it easier to stop the passing game.
The Hokies have had miscommunication among the secondary early in the season. Davon Morgan and Dorian Porch have both struggled at rover and because of this, I think you'll see a couple of big plays through the air from the Tar Heels. It will be up to the leaders of this defense, Kam Chancellor and Macho Harris, to keep the youngsters in check and keep them from having a complete meltdown.
The Tar Heels will have big plays through the air, but we can't let this become like the situation at Boston College in 2006 where you have bickering over missed assignments that affects the team the rest of the game. Keep it together and stop them on the next play.
Outcome
This game will come down to big plays. The Tar Heels have more home run hitter than the Hokies right now, which is why I think they will win. Right now, I think the Tar Heels can score quickly while the Hokies have to be more methodical to get their points. A big play late will turn this game.
At times this game will be ugly and unwatchable like the Georgia Tech game last week or the North Carolina game last year. But in the end, it will be a big play from North Carolina that will turn the game. Kind of like the last time the Hokies played in the Tar Heel State.
You also have to take into account that this is the first true road game for most of the Hokie roster. How they handle the pressure will dictate how the Hokies do Saturday.
Check the box score for:
1. VT sacks and QB hurries.
2. NC yards per completion.
3. Tyrod Taylor completion percentage.
4. NC yards rushing.
Players to watch for VT
6 - Jason Worilds, DE, So.
5 - Tyrod Taylor, QB, So.
32 - Darren Evans, RB, So.
17 - Kam Chancellor, FS, Jr.
Players to watch for NC
87 - Brandon Tate, WR, Sr.
13 - TJ Yates, QB, So.
52 - Quan Sturdivant, LB, So.
16 - Kendric Burney, CB, So.
Score: North Carolina 25, Virginia Tech 21
Hokie fans are notorious for taking over Kenan Stadium. The amount of Tar Heel Blue was up in 2006 from 2004 and I have a feeling with Carolina's recent success, it might be more difficult for the Hokies to make this similar to the Cubs playing in Milwaukee. Still, I expect a lot of orange and maroon Saturday.
Offense
The running back situation will go like this: Kenny Lewis will start, the first series will go three-and-out and Darren Evans will get most of the carries in the first quarter and the first half of the second. After that, look for more Lewis and some Josh Oglesby (with maybe some Dustin Pickle sprinkled in) in the second quarter and most of the third. Then Evans will get all the carries in the fourth quarter.
While Evans is by far the most effect back the Hokies have used so far, I have no problem with this. Why? Because it means Evans is fresh for the fourth quarter. All the good teams do this. Oklahoma would even do it with Adrian Peterson. He would get spelled during most of the third quarter and then dominate in the fourth.
If the Hokies are going to win, they need to wear down the Tar Heels in the first three quarters by pounding the ball against the UNC front seven. The Hokies have to keep it close so Evans can be the difference maker in the fourth quarter.
Look at what happened against Georgia Tech. Evans had one carry until late in the third quarter. After that, he had three of the last four carries by running backs in the third and all six carries by running backs in the fourth quarter. Evans was a beast against the Yellow Jackets and I look for him to be the same against the Tar Heels.
However, I don't think it's going to be enough. At some point in this game, the Hokies will need a big play in the passing game. And it can't come from Tyrod Taylor dropping back, tucking and running. They will need to hit a home run through the air. Something they haven't done so far this year.
The Tar Heels will stack the box against Taylor to both try and stop the run and to try and contain him when he tries to scramble. Unless he makes plays with his arm, there won't be much room for the running backs to run.
The Tar Heel secondary played better than they have played in years against Rutgers. Only time will tell if this was because of how terrible Rutgers is or how good the Carolina secondary has become. Personally, I was impressed with the secondary. They played with confidence and swagger against the Scarlet Knights. They will have the same swagger in front of the home crowd Saturday.
Defense
It will come down to how much pressure the Hokies can get on TJ Yates. I think the Carolina passing game will be all or nothing on Saturday. It will have one or two big plays from Hakeem Nicks and Brandon Tate. However, the Tar Heel passing game will also have periods where it is disrupted and out of sync because of the Hokie front four.
I was very impressed with both Nekos Brown and Jason Worilds against Georgia Tech. They both raised their level of play with Cam Martin not nearly 100 percent. Martin will be back Saturday, but may not be at full speed. I think it will again be up to Brown and Worilds to make plays. But it does make me feel good to know the Hokies can rotate three defensive ends again.
The defensive tackles looked completely different against Georgia Tech than against ECU and Furman. They had the Jacket snap count down and were very disruptive when I had though the Jackets would be able to run up the middle all day on the Hokies.
John Graves and company will have to have the same type of game for the Hokies to win Saturday. Because of how they played against Georgia Tech, I think the Hokies will be able to stop the Tar Heels on the ground. However, if they revert to their form from the ECU and Furman games, the Hokies are in trouble. Stopping the ground game makes it easier to stop the passing game.
The Hokies have had miscommunication among the secondary early in the season. Davon Morgan and Dorian Porch have both struggled at rover and because of this, I think you'll see a couple of big plays through the air from the Tar Heels. It will be up to the leaders of this defense, Kam Chancellor and Macho Harris, to keep the youngsters in check and keep them from having a complete meltdown.
The Tar Heels will have big plays through the air, but we can't let this become like the situation at Boston College in 2006 where you have bickering over missed assignments that affects the team the rest of the game. Keep it together and stop them on the next play.
Outcome
This game will come down to big plays. The Tar Heels have more home run hitter than the Hokies right now, which is why I think they will win. Right now, I think the Tar Heels can score quickly while the Hokies have to be more methodical to get their points. A big play late will turn this game.
At times this game will be ugly and unwatchable like the Georgia Tech game last week or the North Carolina game last year. But in the end, it will be a big play from North Carolina that will turn the game. Kind of like the last time the Hokies played in the Tar Heel State.
You also have to take into account that this is the first true road game for most of the Hokie roster. How they handle the pressure will dictate how the Hokies do Saturday.
Check the box score for:
1. VT sacks and QB hurries.
2. NC yards per completion.
3. Tyrod Taylor completion percentage.
4. NC yards rushing.
Players to watch for VT
6 - Jason Worilds, DE, So.
5 - Tyrod Taylor, QB, So.
32 - Darren Evans, RB, So.
17 - Kam Chancellor, FS, Jr.
Players to watch for NC
87 - Brandon Tate, WR, Sr.
13 - TJ Yates, QB, So.
52 - Quan Sturdivant, LB, So.
16 - Kendric Burney, CB, So.
Score: North Carolina 25, Virginia Tech 21
Thursday, September 11, 2008
What to Watch vs. Georgia Tech
Jerseys
The Hokies will wear orange jerseys for Orange Effect weekend. Here's my best guess as to what they'll look like. I like the white numbers better. The ones with maroon numbers are on sale at various Web sites.
While I'm sure they'll look great, it kind of worries be because the last time the Hokies wore orange jerseys they lost to UVa, 42-23 in Blacksburg while wearing orange jerseys with orange pants.
Offense
Frank Beamer defended offensive coordinator Bryan Stinespring on Monday's Labatt Hokie Hotline, calling caller Jason from Arlington "out of whack" for thinking the offense has under-performed the last eight years. He then defended Stinespring again at Tuesday's press conference, inviting Virginia Tech fans that could prove they knew how to run an offense better than Stinespring to come air their grievances about the offense and the offensive coordinator.
This puts more pressure than ever on Stinespring and the offense to come up with and execute a solid offensive game plan against the Yellow Jackets. Another lackluster performance after Beamer went to bat for him would no doubt turn up the complaints from Hokie fans from "mild roar" to "DNC protester with a megaphone near the MSNBC set" levels.
The key Saturday's game for the Hokies will be the offensive line. I'm interested to see where Georgia Tech defensive end Michael Johnson will line up. Will he line up on his usual side and go head-to-head with Ed Wang or will he move to the right side of Virginia Tech's offensive line and go after the less experienced and more inconsistent tackles?
Also, because of the offensive line's struggles against the pass rush I don't expect to see Ryan Williams play on Saturday. He has had trouble with pass blocking and that's what's kept the true freshman from making his Hokie debut. He can be magic with the ball in his hands, but when the play isn't designed for him, he hasn't been as good as Kenny Lewis or Darren Evans in pass blocking.
My hope is the Hokies give more carries to Evans Saturday as he's been the most explosive and most constant when carrying the football. However, Lewis is great for third downs because he is quicker to the line of scrimmage when carrying the ball and is the best pass blocking and pass catching running back.
I think the writing is on the wall for Sean Glennon. He is a victim of circumstance this season and Tyrod Taylor will get most of the snaps the rest of the way. Glennon simply did not improve as much as he should have from his sophomore to senior year. Also, the lack of playmakers at skill positions and inconstant play from the offensive line means the Hokies need a mobile quarterback this season. Taylor will be the guy Saturday and beyond.
Defense
Both sides of the ball will have big plays Saturday when Georgia Tech is on offense. The flexbone can lead to big plays, but it can also lead to costly turnovers. The Yellow Jackets have seen both in their first two games.
They faced a superior run defense last week when they played Boston College than they will see this week against the Hokies. Last week, the big plays came when the run went to the outside and there were missed assignments from the secondary. The interior linemen and backers on BC's defense did a good job of stopping runs between the tackles.
I think the opposite will be true this weekend. You'll see the Hokies play assignment football and execute well on options to the outside. However, I think Georgia Tech will break two or three big plays on fullback dives and runs up the middle. Jonathan Dwyer can be a difference maker when given space to run juke when off tackle. However, he will need to be more of a north-south runner to have success against the Hokies. Virginia Tech has too much speed in the secondary and at linebacker for him to have success running to the outside.
Outcome
Both teams will be trying to stop eachother on first and second down to force passing situations. Both are at their best when defending the pass. As with most Hokie games, it will come down to turnovers and rushing yards.
Because the Hokies have been able to force turnovers and capitalize on them and the Yellow Jackets have had trouble hanging on to the football with the new offense, I believe the Hokies will win a close football game. This one will be exciting to watch, particularly when the Jackets have the football.
Check the box score for:
1. Turnovers
2. Team rush yards
3. GT sacks
4. VT third down percentage
Players to watch for GT:
9 - Josh Nesbitt, QB, So.
28 - Jonathan Dwyer, B-back, So.
93 - Michael Johnson, DE, Sr.
1 - Morgan Burnett, S, So.
Players to watch for VT:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, QB, So.
77 - Ed Wang, LT, Jr.
1 - Macho Harris, CB, Sr.
91 - John Graves, DT, So.
Score: Virginia Tech 23, Georgia Tech 21
The Hokies will wear orange jerseys for Orange Effect weekend. Here's my best guess as to what they'll look like. I like the white numbers better. The ones with maroon numbers are on sale at various Web sites.
While I'm sure they'll look great, it kind of worries be because the last time the Hokies wore orange jerseys they lost to UVa, 42-23 in Blacksburg while wearing orange jerseys with orange pants.
Offense
Frank Beamer defended offensive coordinator Bryan Stinespring on Monday's Labatt Hokie Hotline, calling caller Jason from Arlington "out of whack" for thinking the offense has under-performed the last eight years. He then defended Stinespring again at Tuesday's press conference, inviting Virginia Tech fans that could prove they knew how to run an offense better than Stinespring to come air their grievances about the offense and the offensive coordinator.
This puts more pressure than ever on Stinespring and the offense to come up with and execute a solid offensive game plan against the Yellow Jackets. Another lackluster performance after Beamer went to bat for him would no doubt turn up the complaints from Hokie fans from "mild roar" to "DNC protester with a megaphone near the MSNBC set" levels.
The key Saturday's game for the Hokies will be the offensive line. I'm interested to see where Georgia Tech defensive end Michael Johnson will line up. Will he line up on his usual side and go head-to-head with Ed Wang or will he move to the right side of Virginia Tech's offensive line and go after the less experienced and more inconsistent tackles?
Also, because of the offensive line's struggles against the pass rush I don't expect to see Ryan Williams play on Saturday. He has had trouble with pass blocking and that's what's kept the true freshman from making his Hokie debut. He can be magic with the ball in his hands, but when the play isn't designed for him, he hasn't been as good as Kenny Lewis or Darren Evans in pass blocking.
My hope is the Hokies give more carries to Evans Saturday as he's been the most explosive and most constant when carrying the football. However, Lewis is great for third downs because he is quicker to the line of scrimmage when carrying the ball and is the best pass blocking and pass catching running back.
I think the writing is on the wall for Sean Glennon. He is a victim of circumstance this season and Tyrod Taylor will get most of the snaps the rest of the way. Glennon simply did not improve as much as he should have from his sophomore to senior year. Also, the lack of playmakers at skill positions and inconstant play from the offensive line means the Hokies need a mobile quarterback this season. Taylor will be the guy Saturday and beyond.
Defense
Both sides of the ball will have big plays Saturday when Georgia Tech is on offense. The flexbone can lead to big plays, but it can also lead to costly turnovers. The Yellow Jackets have seen both in their first two games.
They faced a superior run defense last week when they played Boston College than they will see this week against the Hokies. Last week, the big plays came when the run went to the outside and there were missed assignments from the secondary. The interior linemen and backers on BC's defense did a good job of stopping runs between the tackles.
I think the opposite will be true this weekend. You'll see the Hokies play assignment football and execute well on options to the outside. However, I think Georgia Tech will break two or three big plays on fullback dives and runs up the middle. Jonathan Dwyer can be a difference maker when given space to run juke when off tackle. However, he will need to be more of a north-south runner to have success against the Hokies. Virginia Tech has too much speed in the secondary and at linebacker for him to have success running to the outside.
Outcome
Both teams will be trying to stop eachother on first and second down to force passing situations. Both are at their best when defending the pass. As with most Hokie games, it will come down to turnovers and rushing yards.
Because the Hokies have been able to force turnovers and capitalize on them and the Yellow Jackets have had trouble hanging on to the football with the new offense, I believe the Hokies will win a close football game. This one will be exciting to watch, particularly when the Jackets have the football.
Check the box score for:
1. Turnovers
2. Team rush yards
3. GT sacks
4. VT third down percentage
Players to watch for GT:
9 - Josh Nesbitt, QB, So.
28 - Jonathan Dwyer, B-back, So.
93 - Michael Johnson, DE, Sr.
1 - Morgan Burnett, S, So.
Players to watch for VT:
5 - Tyrod Taylor, QB, So.
77 - Ed Wang, LT, Jr.
1 - Macho Harris, CB, Sr.
91 - John Graves, DT, So.
Score: Virginia Tech 23, Georgia Tech 21
Friday, September 5, 2008
What to Watch vs. Furman
Offense
Quarterback
Expect Tyrod Taylor to make his move toward becoming the No. 1 quarterback against Furman. If he doesn't, we're in big, big trouble. Sean Glennon is a serviceable quarterback, but isn't going to lead this offense to big numbers. He's Grant Noel.
Running Back
If Ryan Williams doesn't get any PT against Furman, you can bet he's getting redshirted. I think he'll get carries and be impressive enough to see time against GT and UNC. Darren Evans will get the most carries in the first half.
Wide Receiver/Tight End
The middle of the field should be open against Furman's 4-2-5 defense. Get the ball to Boone early and often. Also, hope for less drops from the young wide outs.
Offensive Line
Needs to be like Eddie Murphy in Bowfinger: "Keep it together, keep it together, keep it together!"
Defense
Defensive Line
Get pressure. Stop run. Rinse. Repeat. Also, watch the second team defensive tackles try to shed blocks. It'll be fun to watch. And by fun, I of course mean sad.
Linebackers
Somebody make a tackle. Please?
Secondary
Macho Harris plans to play? Why? So he can aggravate his ankle injury so we have to play a completely overmatched Rock Carmichael at boundary corner against GT and its triple option? Maybe I should just start mixing my bourbon with paint thinner now.
Quarterback
Expect Tyrod Taylor to make his move toward becoming the No. 1 quarterback against Furman. If he doesn't, we're in big, big trouble. Sean Glennon is a serviceable quarterback, but isn't going to lead this offense to big numbers. He's Grant Noel.
Running Back
If Ryan Williams doesn't get any PT against Furman, you can bet he's getting redshirted. I think he'll get carries and be impressive enough to see time against GT and UNC. Darren Evans will get the most carries in the first half.
Wide Receiver/Tight End
The middle of the field should be open against Furman's 4-2-5 defense. Get the ball to Boone early and often. Also, hope for less drops from the young wide outs.
Offensive Line
Needs to be like Eddie Murphy in Bowfinger: "Keep it together, keep it together, keep it together!"
Defense
Defensive Line
Get pressure. Stop run. Rinse. Repeat. Also, watch the second team defensive tackles try to shed blocks. It'll be fun to watch. And by fun, I of course mean sad.
Linebackers
Somebody make a tackle. Please?
Secondary
Macho Harris plans to play? Why? So he can aggravate his ankle injury so we have to play a completely overmatched Rock Carmichael at boundary corner against GT and its triple option? Maybe I should just start mixing my bourbon with paint thinner now.
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