Monday, November 10, 2008

Week 12 ACC Handicapping

Going into Week 12

The Standings

Atlantic
Wake Forest (6-3, 4-2)
Florida State (7-2, 4-2)
Maryland (6-3, 3-2)
Boston College (6-3, 2-3)
Clemson (4-5, 2-4)
NC State (3-6, 1-4)

Coastal
North Carolina (7-2, 3-2)
Miami (6-3, 3-2)
Virginia Tech (6-3, 3-2)
Georgia Tech (7-3, 4-3)
Virginia (5-5, 3-3)
Duke (4-5, 1-4)

The Games

Week 12
Atlantic
Boston College at Florida State
Wake Forest at NC State
Coastal
Virginia Tech at Miami
Inter-Division
Duke at Clemson
North Carolina at Maryland
Non-Conference
None
Bye Week
GT, UVA

Week 13
Atlantic
Boston College at Wake Forest
Florida State at Maryland
Coastal
Miami at Georgia Tech
Duke at Virginia Tech
Inter-Division
Clemson at Virginia
NC State at North Carolina
Non-Conference
None
Bye Week
None

Week 14
Atlantic
Maryland at Boston College
Coastal
North Carolina at Duke
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Inter-Division
Miami at NC State
Non-Conference
Florida at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Georgia
South Carolina at Clemson
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest
Bye Week
None

The Teams
Division games in CAPS, Inter-Division games in lower case.

Atlantic

Wake Forest (4-2)
Wins: FSU, CU, du, uva
Losses: UMD, mia
Home: BC
Away: NCSU
Analysis: Can't lose another game...must beat BC and NCSU and have UMD lose again...has a solid defense, but will need better offensive production these last two weeks.

Florida State (4-2)
Wins: NCSU, CU, mia, vt
Losses: WF, gt
Home: BC
Away: UMD
Analysis: Needs to win out and have Wake lose a game...best offense among division contenders...have lost last two trips to college park.

Maryland (3-2)
Wins: CU, WF, NCSU
Losses: uva, vt
Home: FSU, unc
Away: BC
Analysis: Jekyll and Hyde team of the ACC...all three remaining games are possible losses...already has tiebreak over Wake...goes to Tampa if they win out.

Boston College (2-3)
Wins: NCSU, vt
Losses: CU, gt, unc
Home: UMD
Away: FSU, WF
Analysis: Best defense in the conference...can win out and got to Tampa on tiebreaks...kicking game will cost them eventually.

Coastal

North Carolina (3-2)
Wins: MIA, GT, bc
Losses: VT, UVA
Home: ncsu
Away: DU, umd
Analysis: A MIA win over VT would help them exponentially...must finish with better record than both UVA and VT...has easiest remaining schedule among division contenders.

Miami (3-2)
Wins: UVA, DU, wf
Losses: UNC, fsu
Home: VT
Away: GT, ncsu
Analysis: Has won four consecutive games and is coming off a bye week...finishes season with two road games...VT game is almost an elimination game.

Virginia Tech (3-2)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: bc, fsu
Home: DU, UVA
Away: MIA
Analysis: MIA game is almost an elimination game...finally found success on the ground, but faces a tough road game...finishes with two home games.

Virginia (3-3)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: DU, MIA, wf
Home: cu
Away: VT
Analysis: Needs all other contenders to lose a game, but only plays VT the rest of the season...needs VT to beat MIA...four-game win streak ended at WF.

The Odds

Atlantic

Florida State: 5/2
Wake Forest: 5/2
Maryland: 10/1
Boston College: 10/1

Coastal

North Carolina: 3/1
Miami: 3/1
Virginia Tech: 10/3
Virginia: 20/1

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