Monday, November 10, 2008

Week 12 ACC Handicapping

Going into Week 12

The Standings

Wake Forest (6-3, 4-2)
Florida State (7-2, 4-2)
Maryland (6-3, 3-2)
Boston College (6-3, 2-3)
Clemson (4-5, 2-4)
NC State (3-6, 1-4)

North Carolina (7-2, 3-2)
Miami (6-3, 3-2)
Virginia Tech (6-3, 3-2)
Georgia Tech (7-3, 4-3)
Virginia (5-5, 3-3)
Duke (4-5, 1-4)

The Games

Week 12
Boston College at Florida State
Wake Forest at NC State
Virginia Tech at Miami
Duke at Clemson
North Carolina at Maryland
Bye Week

Week 13
Boston College at Wake Forest
Florida State at Maryland
Miami at Georgia Tech
Duke at Virginia Tech
Clemson at Virginia
NC State at North Carolina
Bye Week

Week 14
Maryland at Boston College
North Carolina at Duke
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Miami at NC State
Florida at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Georgia
South Carolina at Clemson
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest
Bye Week

The Teams
Division games in CAPS, Inter-Division games in lower case.


Wake Forest (4-2)
Wins: FSU, CU, du, uva
Losses: UMD, mia
Home: BC
Away: NCSU
Analysis: Can't lose another game...must beat BC and NCSU and have UMD lose again...has a solid defense, but will need better offensive production these last two weeks.

Florida State (4-2)
Wins: NCSU, CU, mia, vt
Losses: WF, gt
Home: BC
Away: UMD
Analysis: Needs to win out and have Wake lose a offense among division contenders...have lost last two trips to college park.

Maryland (3-2)
Wins: CU, WF, NCSU
Losses: uva, vt
Home: FSU, unc
Away: BC
Analysis: Jekyll and Hyde team of the ACC...all three remaining games are possible losses...already has tiebreak over Wake...goes to Tampa if they win out.

Boston College (2-3)
Wins: NCSU, vt
Losses: CU, gt, unc
Home: UMD
Away: FSU, WF
Analysis: Best defense in the conference...can win out and got to Tampa on tiebreaks...kicking game will cost them eventually.


North Carolina (3-2)
Wins: MIA, GT, bc
Losses: VT, UVA
Home: ncsu
Away: DU, umd
Analysis: A MIA win over VT would help them exponentially...must finish with better record than both UVA and VT...has easiest remaining schedule among division contenders.

Miami (3-2)
Wins: UVA, DU, wf
Losses: UNC, fsu
Home: VT
Away: GT, ncsu
Analysis: Has won four consecutive games and is coming off a bye week...finishes season with two road games...VT game is almost an elimination game.

Virginia Tech (3-2)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: bc, fsu
Home: DU, UVA
Away: MIA
Analysis: MIA game is almost an elimination game...finally found success on the ground, but faces a tough road game...finishes with two home games.

Virginia (3-3)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: DU, MIA, wf
Home: cu
Away: VT
Analysis: Needs all other contenders to lose a game, but only plays VT the rest of the season...needs VT to beat MIA...four-game win streak ended at WF.

The Odds


Florida State: 5/2
Wake Forest: 5/2
Maryland: 10/1
Boston College: 10/1


North Carolina: 3/1
Miami: 3/1
Virginia Tech: 10/3
Virginia: 20/1

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