Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Week 13 ACC Handicapping

Going into Week 13

The Standings

Maryland (7-3, 4-2)
Wake Forest (6-4, 4-3)
Florida State (7-3, 4-3)
Boston College (7-3, 3-3)
Clemson (5-5, 3-4)
NC State (4-6, 2-4)

Miami (7-3, 4-2)
Georgia Tech (7-3, 4-3)
North Carolina (7-3, 3-3)
Virginia Tech (6-4, 3-3)
Virginia (5-5, 3-3)
Duke (4-6, 1-5)

The Games

Week 13
Boston College at Wake Forest
Florida State at Maryland
Miami at Georgia Tech
Duke at Virginia Tech
Clemson at Virginia
NC State at North Carolina
Bye Week

Week 14
Maryland at Boston College
North Carolina at Duke
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Miami at NC State
Florida at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Georgia
South Carolina at Clemson
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest
Bye Week

The Teams
Division games in CAPS, Inter-Division games in lower case.


Maryland (4-2)
Wins: CU, WF, NCSU, unc
Losses: uva, vt
Home: FSU
Away: BC
Analysis: Plays much better at home than on the road...needs production out of ground game...already has tiebreak over Wake...goes to Tampa if they win out.

Wake Forest (4-3)
Wins: FSU, CU, du, uva
Losses: UMD, NCSU, mia
Home: BC
Away: none
Analysis: Needs to beat BC and have UMd lose twice...has a solid defense, but has struggled on offense...looked strong early and has faded, like VT.

Florida State (4-3)
Wins: NCSU, CU, mia, vt
Losses: WF, BC, gt
Home: none
Away: UMD
Analysis: Can still get to Tampa on tiebreaker...best offense among division contenders when at full strength...have lost last two trips to College Park.

Boston College (3-3)
Wins: NCSU, FSU, vt
Losses: CU, gt, unc
Home: UMD
Away: WF
Analysis: Best defense in the conference...can win out and got to Tampa on tiebreaks...kicking game will cost them eventually (hey, no change from last week).


Miami (4-2)
Wins: UVA, DU, VT, wf
Losses: UNC, fsu
Home: none
Away: GT, ncsu
Analysis: Has won five consecutive games...best team in the conference right now...win out and they go to Tampa.

North Carolina (3-3)
Wins: MIA, GT, bc
Losses: VT, UVA, umd
Home: ncsu
Away: DU
Analysis: Loss to UMd also cost them control of their own destiny...needs MIA and VT to lose...QB controversy doesn't bode well.

Virginia Tech (3-3)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: MIA, bc, fsu
Home: DU, UVA
Away: none
Analysis: Eliminated if MIA beats GT...controls own destiny with GT win over MIA...has lost three of last four, but finishes with two home games.

Virginia (3-3)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: DU, MIA, wf
Home: cu
Away: VT
Analysis: Needs a lot of help...didn't look well against Wake, but returns home this week...has a balanced offense and strong running game.

The Odds


Maryland: 5/2
Wake Forest: 10/1
Florida State: 10/1
Boston College: 5/2


Miami: 2/1
North Carolina: 4/1
Virginia Tech: 5/1
Virginia: 20/1

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