Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Week 13 ACC Handicapping

Going into Week 13

The Standings

Atlantic
Maryland (7-3, 4-2)
Wake Forest (6-4, 4-3)
Florida State (7-3, 4-3)
Boston College (7-3, 3-3)
Clemson (5-5, 3-4)
NC State (4-6, 2-4)

Coastal
Miami (7-3, 4-2)
Georgia Tech (7-3, 4-3)
North Carolina (7-3, 3-3)
Virginia Tech (6-4, 3-3)
Virginia (5-5, 3-3)
Duke (4-6, 1-5)

The Games

Week 13
Atlantic
Boston College at Wake Forest
Florida State at Maryland
Coastal
Miami at Georgia Tech
Duke at Virginia Tech
Inter-Division
Clemson at Virginia
NC State at North Carolina
Non-Conference
None
Bye Week
None

Week 14
Atlantic
Maryland at Boston College
Coastal
North Carolina at Duke
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Inter-Division
Miami at NC State
Non-Conference
Florida at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Georgia
South Carolina at Clemson
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest
Bye Week
None

The Teams
Division games in CAPS, Inter-Division games in lower case.

Atlantic

Maryland (4-2)
Wins: CU, WF, NCSU, unc
Losses: uva, vt
Home: FSU
Away: BC
Analysis: Plays much better at home than on the road...needs production out of ground game...already has tiebreak over Wake...goes to Tampa if they win out.

Wake Forest (4-3)
Wins: FSU, CU, du, uva
Losses: UMD, NCSU, mia
Home: BC
Away: none
Analysis: Needs to beat BC and have UMd lose twice...has a solid defense, but has struggled on offense...looked strong early and has faded, like VT.

Florida State (4-3)
Wins: NCSU, CU, mia, vt
Losses: WF, BC, gt
Home: none
Away: UMD
Analysis: Can still get to Tampa on tiebreaker...best offense among division contenders when at full strength...have lost last two trips to College Park.

Boston College (3-3)
Wins: NCSU, FSU, vt
Losses: CU, gt, unc
Home: UMD
Away: WF
Analysis: Best defense in the conference...can win out and got to Tampa on tiebreaks...kicking game will cost them eventually (hey, no change from last week).

Coastal

Miami (4-2)
Wins: UVA, DU, VT, wf
Losses: UNC, fsu
Home: none
Away: GT, ncsu
Analysis: Has won five consecutive games...best team in the conference right now...win out and they go to Tampa.

North Carolina (3-3)
Wins: MIA, GT, bc
Losses: VT, UVA, umd
Home: ncsu
Away: DU
Analysis: Loss to UMd also cost them control of their own destiny...needs MIA and VT to lose...QB controversy doesn't bode well.

Virginia Tech (3-3)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: MIA, bc, fsu
Home: DU, UVA
Away: none
Analysis: Eliminated if MIA beats GT...controls own destiny with GT win over MIA...has lost three of last four, but finishes with two home games.

Virginia (3-3)
Wins: GT, UNC, umd
Losses: DU, MIA, wf
Home: cu
Away: VT
Analysis: Needs a lot of help...didn't look well against Wake, but returns home this week...has a balanced offense and strong running game.

The Odds

Atlantic

Maryland: 5/2
Wake Forest: 10/1
Florida State: 10/1
Boston College: 5/2

Coastal

Miami: 2/1
North Carolina: 4/1
Virginia Tech: 5/1
Virginia: 20/1

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